NBA Picks for EVERY Game Monday 12/25 | Best NBA Bets & Predictions | Lindy’s Leans Likes & Locks

NBA Picks for EVERY Game Monday 12/25 | Best NBA Bets & Predictions | Lindy’s Leans Likes & Locks

What’s going on everybody Eric linquist at totic here on the odd shopper channel coming to you the Christmas edition of ladies Lans likes and locks NBA hit that like button subscribe button notification Bell goes along way for me on this video goes along way for you that way you become a prize whenever

Great content is going live here at our Little Neck of the YouTube Woods my friends I am in the great state South Dakota here uh going to go drive across to Iowa go uh make a little uh selections if you will uh play some games of for chance and hey you know

Fire up all the bets that I’m about to talk about here what a Time to be live it’s Christmas it’s the five game NBA slate probably my favorite NBA slate of the entire year you need to check out from family for 5 minutes on your phone

Oh you you know go to the bathroom sounds great you’ve got NBA on you want to just space out because the kids are screaming yelling crying I don’t have kids but I can imagine you can watch basketball there is basketball from morning till night it is incredible

Stuff I’m here to break it down for you and I do have a play from every single game so I have you covered in that regard wasn’t on purpose didn’t see it coming but hey between odd Shopper identifying a couple of plays here on the card one specifically and then a

Couple of these plays that I just have I think we’re going to see a Christmas bump similar to what we had for the early season tournament in terms of minutes in terms of usage and I’m focusing it on two stars for sure that I think can do that for us in triple

Double and double double type prop lines we’ll talk about all the ins and outs of that but first smash the like button hey it’s Christmas after all I have to ask for something just give me that I don’t need presents under a tree be really creepy if you gave me that producer

Jacob’s here he’s excited he’s ready for Christmas here uh I think we might uh we’re kind of in syn on a couple of these things I think uh this is good when gu guu is good between Jacob and I talking pre-show about the plays and I

Don’t get the I don’t know about that it’s usually a good thing friends so I’m ready to rock a little Redemption for Friday which was ugly one and for anyway we’re not going to talk about that we’re going to talk about good things it’s Christmas I’m smiling I should probably start the show

Producer Jacob let’s get to the picks We Begin our day oh so merily in Madison Square Garden hey I was just there last month that was fun that was fun it’s a good place I wish I lived in New York sometimes it’s not warm though that’s a

Problem Milwaukee minus 3 and a half taking on the Knicks here 241 total which caught me a little bit by surprise R from the get-go because well you don’t think of the Knicks as a team that carry 240 totals ever first of all the 97.4 possessions per for 48 minutes that’s

28th in the NBA there’s only 30 teams in the NBA so there’s that and then defensively they don’t have Mitchell Robinson down low here sounds like he’s going to be out for the Year hope he is okay because he’s fun to watch on the defensive end even though offensively

Never really had the skill set not that Isaiah hardenstein playing minutes out there has that skill set either so there’s that just a bummer it’s a bummer but anyway the main reason that you’re looking at a 241 total here my friends is because Milwaukee has a couple of

Things that are just at break neck Pace first off teams are shooting ridiculously well from the outside from three-point range up against Milwaukee and they’re fourth themselves knocking down three point shoot or knocking down three-pointers on the season 38.3% and hey I was able to do a little bit of a

Deep dive there on the Dallas airport I don’t recommend it it should be better Dallas you have to have a better airport than whatever that was but hey gave me a nice six seven hours to be able to study NBA and NFL stuff and well kind of

Looked into some of these pace metc because my totals similar to MLB they have not been profitable to this point in the season and I want to fix that now being down 4 and a half units there in totals on the year again just being honest it’s not pretty but still

Positive here uh 13 units here on the season which isn’t much we have lots of room for improvement and if you’re missing my show here or there hopefully you missed it Friday we’ll put it that way but I’m looking at things here as a massive step for improvement just

Updating some stuff in my model and just focusing more on the odd shop for tools and content to go way up there on some of these unders we’ll get to that one here next but I am looking at Milwaukee just going absolutely berserk here in the garden I don’t even know about the

Three and a half being necessary when you’re talking about minus 166 plus there’s a money line coming up later that’s another favorite that I think couples very nicely if you’re looking for a little Christmas cheer I’m not the big parlay guy obviously you’re reducing your payouts over a a long amount of

Time but for today I totally understand if you want to just have one sweat here early on the Milwaukee side and then pair it with something later in the day I’ll I’ll you’ll know what it is it’s the only other money line here on the card Milwaukee money line here go

Behind Giannis in the garden are you kidding me sounds lovely and the Knicks still searching for that identity here uh Jericho Sims goingon to be out Mitchell Robinson gonna be out hornstein gonna have to play lots of minutes and Taj Gibson what a time to be alive Joe

Flaco’s playing good and he’s 100 years old Taj Gibson maybe he can play good at 100 years old too probably not Milwaukee money line easy add to the card odd Shopper special coming at you here in this one we have the Golden State Warriors plus 6 and a

Half going into Denver 233 and A2 total and Golden State 14 and 15 against the spread which is pretty wild because I feel like they’re a publicly back team just historically in the last couple of years and for the numbers to kind of show out efficient here on it I’m not really I

Mean in a perfect world in a perfect world everything projects out 50% over the time and you get in when its numbers low no that’s not true we don’t want that at all we don’t want the 50% numbers we want to be above that threshold here and well it’s tough to

Look at this game and and have any kind of a lean outside of like I’m not betting the spread that that’s what I’m getting at that was a longwinded way of saying I’m not going to bet the spread we’re looking at the prop Market here for this one obviously no injury

News no injury news on the front here outside of Andrew Wiggins in the entire basketball game we know Draymond Green continued to be suspended we know Gary pyton he’s going to be doubtful here for probably another week before he makes his return but Andrew Wiggins he’s only

Been playing around 24 26 minutes a game here off of the bench lately as they’ve moved pashinsky there into the starting unit but I want to focus in on Jonathan kaminga here and yes joic he’s not one of those studs that I was actually talking about from a triple doubles

Aspect some of these numbers when you start talking about minus money here for for anything I mean no thank you he’s probably going to do it here and be the guy who ends up coming out trolling Us in this regard but two other players that I’m actually focused in on on the

Double double triple double prop situations but in this one odd Shopper you simply use a market based approach and what happens is that there’s a 19 a half P sitting there at a sharp book inflated north of minus1 125 it’s sitting at 20 a half to take the under

There on that last spot and they just got done playing Washington and it was by far the best outing that you’ve seen from kaminga this season and I’m not going to read too much into that one he played 30 minutes he missed two threes but I mean Washington then they played

Portland he didn’t play nearly as well there 116 and five he still went over this number but friends if Wiggins returns it’s going to put a cap on his minutes over the course of the Season he only averages 21.4 and he will continue to start I can’t imagine a scenario

Where Steve Kerr wants to Pivot back to Andrew Wiggins for how bad he’s been but those 24 minutes come directly out of kaminga here and they have 20 a half posted for the P now there is a tiny bit of risk involved because Shopper when you’re talking about in a market-based

Approach you’re not getting the context context only of injury situations that’s something that has to be on your radar when you take into effect some of these unders and there’s a lot of unders at the top of under of odd Shopper per usual like there are in most sports

Because people like to bet over so let’s just bet the things that make more money this one is really good I think Andrew Wiggins considering it’s been in illness for a week I think he comes back here in this spot and that makes 20 and a half a

Gigantic number for a guy where if you change his Baseline numbers to 24 this is a stout Denver team obviously defensively that is something that they are going to do above average especially above average of Portland and Washington the last two outings that kaming has had here played 34 minutes against Boston

I’m not reading into that here either if you change that Baseline closer to 2425 minutes he averages 12 and A2 four and one and a half here on the season that’s not getting you there it’s it’s just not on the road and Denver give me the under

For 20 and a half P for Jonathan kaminga long-winded way of saying Merry Christmas please kaminga don’t do this to us it’s a really good bet speaking of odd Shopper just talked about it a second ago trying to identify some of the Best Bets at the top of the positive

EV board and I’m lucky I’m going to be heading over to Iowa where they have bet 365 I’m going to be happier than a clam I don’t understand that saying but I do understand this 33.3% off is a great deal that makes it less than $10 to try

Out odd chopper for a week it makes it less than $33 $3.33 to try out odd chopper for a month that is an incredible deal all you do is go to the link below sign up using promo code gift but that’s not all friends you also will get the premium Discord to

Jump in get my exact betting card exactly what I’m firing up throughout the day tomorrow just by signing up here today at that link below again promo code gift 33.3% off your first week or first month of odd Shopper premium come kick it it’s warm the water’s warm there

That’s really all I have producer Jacob back to the picks we go it’s a really creepy bear I my high school girlfriend gave that to me I should probably get rid of that it’s a creepy bear how about the Duke basketball though signed by the entire national champ National Championship

Team back in what have been 2003 2003 I think it was 20 I got to bring that one back to the homestead that’s for sure that’s fire production quality then there’s just other anyway Boston minus three going up against the Los Angeles Lakers I don’t

Know what to make of this spot I think it’s a pretty efficient number I don’t think you can touch really anything here it’s going to be an exciting game here between the Blue Bloods of the NBA you talk about the best team out of the Western Conference best team out of the

Eastern Conference historically I think these are the two teams you pick and that’s going to make for a lot of freaking fun now obviously you’re getting Jason Tatum back into The Fray that is an important thing for them to have there the ankle issue kept them out

For all of One game it didn’t matter as I was doing a deep dive on Boston there in the Dallas airport I repeat don’t end up in the Dallas airport second reminder there of it you have to friends you have to look how good Derek white has been

This entire season Dereck white has been out of control good been the best player in terms of EPM out of every Boston Celtics Starter by more than a point and a half that is an outrageous number when you consider Jaylen Brown when you consider Jason Tatum Kristof porzingis

And Drew holiday I mean it’s wild because adding Drew holiday and Christof porzingis has been important to them but Derek white has been out of control he is top 10 in estimated winshare he is out of freaking control and I didn’t even really realize how good he’s been I

Mean I watch the games and he does a lot of important things but you don’t get the flash of a Tatum you don’t get the volume of a brown you don’t get the volume of either of them really and christops porzingis he’s the one guy you

Got to be on high alert here if you’re looking to back them he’s the only piece of questionable status on the entire game that I’m worried about Luke Cornett F maai luk no cares just nobody cares you know who I think is going to really care about Christmas and just gets older

And older in his 21st NBA season LeBron James LeBron James my friends in this spot is minus 135 to double double now which category do you think I could possibly be dipping my toes into here and find out to to to be the double double categorical I what what do I think he’s

A favorite for considering he averages 26 8 and seven on the season well I think the rebounds are the most likely scenario but his assist rate has been out of control here and they’ve been playing Austin Reeves more and more minutes alongside LeBron James in some of these situations and normally you

Would think oh that would cut into the assist rate somehow but Austin Reeves is knocking down shots right now he was down at 30% at the beginning of the Season up to 35.4% now from three and 48% from the field now that’s not ideal that’s not much you want from the guy

That you just gave a massive contract to but it is at least improved and it’s showing up now even in the minutes as they have gotten completely healthy they’re playing him and closing him in a lot of these situations as opposed to reddish who is playing 36 minutes a game

Thank God that limitation has come down a little bit Jared vanderbel can swing into that power into that starting unit plays about those 24ish minutes just splitting time power forward there with ruy haimura but lots of it configurations here of this lineup where I think LeBron James on Christmas plays

36 38 minutes in a competitive spot and obviously with a three-point spread here this is an extremely competitive spot I really think you’re kind of getting two cracks at it with the double double here for LeBron James both in rebounds and assists with that assist rate on the

Climb think you want to be betting the double double for a little bit and then I’m not against the triple double went on a long look at this when we’re talking plus 600 compared to the double double being minus 135 kind of want to take a quarter unit

Sprinkle there I think you can come join me on that hey you got a little extra Holiday Cash I know a lot of people give out anybody else get scratchers in their stockings for Christmas that’s a thing right right just me cool now you see why I have my

Job but anyway LeBron double double LeBron triple double think you want to like the double double and the triple double can come along for the ride if you’re feeling frisky I think it’s going to be on my card though what a bummer for Christmas for this slate in general

Not to have the guy who I feel would be the MVP if the season ended today thank God it doesn’t end today I don’t know what I would do with my days until MLB gets back of course but then golf starts next month and I’ll be busy with that oh

And NFL is still going I will always have time for things but NBA is still my baby it’s the thing I’ve been the most profitable on even though I’m not very impressed by my results thus far this season again 13 units sounds Nifty whatever else but over the course of two

And a half months we got to do better I got to be better I got to do better and that starts here just identifying chock spots like this but what a bummer for this slate when you don’t have joeel embiid playing basketball on Monday he will be absent of this game and well

That really changes the complexion to the 76ers we all watched that New Orleans game did we not where he got the surprise scratch and we were over and locked in Tobias Harris 15 A2 points it closes at 21 and a half and you know what happens he didn’t hit

It you know what he did last game he hit that points Dr it was the dumbest game of Tobias Harris’s tenure here with Philadelphia and I don’t think it’s remotely close did anybody watch it I did five for9 from three 12 for 23 from the floor 338 and 7 338 and7 playing

Along side Joel embiid and Tyrese Maxi now he will have to do a ton for this team and then from a DFS perspective the Paul Reed Robert Covington Marcus Morris and yes uh lots of pieces that could end up being you know guys that they go to

In small ball iterations and lineups but what it comes down to is Bam atab bio he will be playing basketball we have Jimmy Butler questionable but bam atab bio should be able to do whatever and whenever he wants that’s a weird way of phrasing we definitely can find bam out

Of Bio to destroy and disintegrate this Philadelphia front Court Paul Reed not a good Defender Robert Covington probably their best chance even though he’s way too small against the likes of a bam atab bio I know that it’s the year 2023 position this basketball but bam atab

Bio good Lord do I like him for tomorrow’s slate looking at some of his props though think we’re going to be waiting till we get all of them here till the Jimmy Butler news drops and that’s kind of is what it is but this we

Can drop right now minus 142 I said you want a nice pairing with the Milwaukee money line here it is I’m going to have a ticket as such too because you know you got to got to do what you’re going to preach and what you talk about even though betting them individually

Probably the more astute way to go about it here but I’m going for the double here Miami money line I like it you should like it here Philadelphia tyres Max is gonna have to do a lot his points props up to 30 and a half I’m thinking

About shorting that too surely that will go up this will go well no matter what though Friends BET MGM if you have legal sports betting in your state you probably have access to bet MGM now you probably already have signed up for DraftKings fand tools Caesars hey talks

About bet 365 we love them we love all of the sports books here at odd shopper because it allows you to shop for the best odds allows you to get the best odds on every play every single day why not take why not sign up for bmgm here

And get yourselves a little bit of a Christmas bonus here if you will $1,500 in bonus bets coming your way you can claim up to that amount there in the bonus bets when you sign up at the link below and then you’ll also get two months of OD Shopper tools and Discord

Access everything I talked about earlier there for odd Shopper all for the price of free 99 and that’s the best 99 my friends two free months $100 value coming your way when you sign up at bmgm at the link below only if you’re 21 and over if you have a gambling prom please

Call 1 800 Gambler back to the pick well one pick to go it’s a lock friends merry Christmas happy New Year even though I’m going to be talking to you a lot before then because hey no days off no days off yeah Bill bich he’s a good coach that’s

Going well for him now maybe give some people some days off that’s an idea anyway producer Jacob this is a fun one I think this is the one that I want to be firing up first and foremost when I get over to Iowa and that is Dallas plus

Five going up against Phoenix I don’t have a play on the game there individually this total looks also perfectly efficient 235 here this is a a Maverick’s team that’s starting to play up in Pace top 10 now in Pace this season think about how many days of your

They were like bottom in terms of pace in the entire NBA but now you’re seeing them defensive play length as well going up against them six they’re allowing teams to shoot really really quickly on them which Phoenix we know that they like to be more lethargic and slow it

Down in the half court and defensive strength of schedule they’ve played absolutely nobody so far this season so things are going to get worse before they get better here for the Phoenix Suns even though we locked them and things didn’t go well there on Friday

But you know what one bet does not a man make multiple bets over a long period of time does a man make we want to be making those we want to be making us some money here in this spot and I definitely don’t want to be going too

Crazy here on the Phoenix side of things this is going to be a messy murky situation I do think Drew Eubanks you know going to be out there in that starting unit gonna continue to play five there considering nurkic has already announced as out and then Derrik

Lively is questionable for this one with the left ankle sprain I think he plays and I think that’s a big piece of why I want to be here I am very very interested in this spot Derek Lively friends could really inflate the assist rate here of one LCA donic it’s just

Easy buckets all of his buckets coming at The Rim here and when you watch Dwight Powell play it makes me inflict pain and sadness in my soul he’s a little bit of a scrooge here on Christmas so I would like to not see Dwight Powell have to play any kind of

Considerable minutes here would love to see Derrick Lively back into the mix here but again he’s missed the last couple hasn’t played now in a week but considering was an ankle Sprint I think he should be good to go wasn’t on high ankle sprin from my understanding of it

So that’d be a great guy to have there but regardless still waiting on Kyrie Irving here he is the piece of news you also need to pay attention to although I don’t think he ends up playing basketball here in this spot uh he’s not officially on the injury report here

They estimated his return after Christmas before but this is all Luca this is Luca on Christmas special and I can’t believe plus 165 is sitting out there available at fandu Sportsbook right now I know that we were able to get this at plus 400 right before he got

Bet way way down inside of these plus 200 numbers but I would argue if you’re going to take a two or three minutes bump to the likes of LeBron and Luca and a lot of these studs the same way that we did for that in season tournament he

Projects out incredibly well to triple double here in this spot because the assist rate has just been asinine the rebound rate has been asinine and every time I look at at at the Dallas Mavericks I’m just surprised that they’re not 41.9% assist percentage 23.5% defense defensive rebound percentage these are

Ridiculous numbers and if he were playing if he were playing 36 minutes a night here 36 and a half he’s averaging here on the season 30 33 eight and a half n those splits go up considerably without Kyrie Irving here on the floor this season and he’s played a lot of

Games where it hasn’t been all that pretty there and he ends up playing 36 on like the low end he is live for 44 42 minutes here in this spot so we have to bet the triple double we have to lock the triple double I think Luca believes

In Christmas I think the newborn baby ex the explosion that’s been going on it continues we’re riding narrative Street into the sunset here friends Luca donic to triple double my favorite play of Christmas let’s get the heck up out of here and that does it for another

Edition of Lindy’s leans likes and locks so you know what to do go to that comment section below let me know your favorite plays that exist here on the board for Christmas day I’m ready to rock I’m going to be in the premium Discord hanging out there throughout the

Day at random times obviously spending some time with my family as well but before the locks of the games if you have questions I have answers in that premium Discord you can hit me up on Twitter SLX Eric linquist just my name simply uh simple to find me I’ll be

Kicking it there too but it’s really all I got for you happy holidays I hope everybody has a safe merry time with the ones that they love uh yeah it’s been a crazy crazy holiday season for me for sure so excited to uh excited to watch a little Sports excited to to kick

It that’s about all I got for you producer Jacob thank you so much per usual he is a gentleman and a scholar smash the like button for him for sure until next time friends I’m Eric linquist best of luck in the NBA streets on Christmas Day

🏀 Lindy’s NBA Best Bets, Picks and Predictions for Monday (12/25)

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🏀 BEST NBA BETTING PICKS TODAY 🏀

0:00 Best NBA Picks, Predictions & Bets Today (12/25/2023)
2:00 Bucks vs Knicks
5:03 Warriors vs Nuggets
9:30 Celtics vs Lakers
13:42 76ers vs Heat
17:21 Mavericks vs Suns

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