Bobby Marks’ Miami Heat Trade Guide | NBA on ESPN

Bobby Marks’ Miami Heat Trade Guide | NBA on ESPN

All right a happy Monday uh hopefully everyone’s doing great had a great weekend enjoy uh the football if you’re Canada City and Detroit and Baltimore and San Francisco fans out there uh we’re going to do a trade guide video um Miami Heat and the trade guides will be

Up on Tuesday and Wednesday I believe the Eastern Conference will be first and then Western Conference uh we’ve got a bunch of I think we’ve got about a third of the league out as far as videos uh 10 minute videos kind of the concept as far

As what to expect and what to watch and the trade meter I actually just adjusted the Heats trade meter had them at a six I think we should probably bump them up to about an eight right now um kind of in in this weird malise and we’re going

To talk about that but trade guides will be up and then we’ll adjust them when deals happen um everything you want to know about each team what to watch um draft assets salary exceptions um um and we will go from there so Miami is an interesting spot right now because we’re

Kind of taking the business and the basketball element and we’re combining it together it would you know in the past all Miami would have to really worry about and teams like Miami and teams that are in this first and second apron and these summer the these high

Spending teams in the past what would happen is is that for Miami to go out and do a deal um it would really be about um going to ownership Mickey Harrison be like okay this is how much it’s going to cost right this is we’re a

Luxury tax team now it’s going to cost us an an additional $25 million $30 million and ownership would sign off on it and certainly there would be some you know long-term costs as far as how it hits your cap and everything what what’s happening now with teams and we’re going

To highlight Miami here is that there’s a mindset where trying to get the roster to improve now in a deal but then also have an you know a foresight down the road for how it impacts you in the in the offseason and how impacts you in 2024 25

The heat are kind of the perfect example Miami right now is about 183 186 million to 186,000 over the second apron and the and why that is is because there’s a bunch of bonuses that are tied to Tyler hero and unlike they’re deemed unlikely right now he he’s not going to reach

Them highly unlikely he’s going to reach them and how it impacts the heat is that those bonuses right now count against the first and second apron here okay so this year I I’ve said all along this year everyone kind of gets like a I guess it’s a get out of jail free card

Where liga’s basically said like we worry about your finances get your finances in order some teams have gone the extreme um we’ve used the line that the buffet line where basically everyone’s eating before the the hard restrictions come about and why that matters to Miami okay and why that

Matters to the heat is that if you are in the second apron when the off season begins the start of the off season so it would be April whatever April 15th somewhere around there you are not allowed to and even though you look your books look like you’re going to be maybe

Under come j July 1st but if you’re in the second apron and you’re in this basically this 2 and 1 half month window you’re not allowed to go out and buy picks at the draft you’re not allowed to go out and aggregate contracts um your your trade exceptions that Miami has

They have a 9.5 7.2 and a 4.7 basically become Frozen um those do not uh are not available to you anymore so you’re in this weird spot because on one end you’ve got this $29 million KY Lowry expiring contract and let’s face it Lowry’s not going to be part of the the

Future here I mean now he’s coming off the bench um and you know you you but you have a better chance of seeing me play point guard next year than than Kyle and that’s just the reality of it the three-year contracts going to expire Miami’s going to go on move on but

Here’s where it gets interesting so Miami’s got this huge trade chip they’ve got draft picks in 28 and 30 to um to uh to move they’ve got some they’ve got picks swaps in um four years three or four years um they can move their 2024 first the night of the draft so right

Now leading up until the trade deadline Miami has two number ones to work with right 28 and 30 we’ve kind of we’ve talked all along during the off season when they were doing trying to get involved with Damen Lillard and you know of course we know how that turned

Out so Miami can swap first in 24 27 28 29 and 30 okay so you’ve got five years of swaps um you can um they can trade two first round picks um you know 28 and 30 are the likehood is there some protection on that pick that’s owed to

Oklahoma City it’s top four protected in in 2025 unprotected in 26 so how the rules are it’s two years after that pick is conveyed so we’re saying right now 2028 so where Kyle Lowry comes into play is that what happens if there’s a deal out there that can help you right now so

What does a deal mean and I’m just throwing hypothetical names what happens if there’s a deal out there for tus Jones and and and Washington and certainly you know Jo Where Jones’s salary is in that 145 million range you have to add money um add money to that

Deal from a from a Wizard’s perspective if you’re you know Landry shamet it’s a good good example what happens if there’s a deal out there for either a player that’s going to be a free agent but you have the intent to resign okay so that’s a tyus Jones for example and

What happens if there’s a deal out there if there’s a player that has length on their contract so I’m going to give an example Terry rier I’m just hypothetical here so let’s take the rier example first what would happen is is that yes the roster gets better right now okay

The roster improves you any you listen you you swap Rosier for for Kyle Larry the roster gets better adds another shooter another guard um a bucket getter um it probably will cost you hypothetically let’s say a 28 first whatever the protection but what that does is that adds that Rosier

Contract for next year 23 is 24 and then Miami is a definite second apron team and why the second apron matters especially for teams that and as what Pat Riley always says like you know going after that whale right that eliminates them from basically all better I don’t want to discredit the

Heat front office cuz they’re as good get as it gets but it makes it extremely extremely difficult to go out there and if that next disgruntled Allstar becomes available if Donovan Mitchell all of a sudden says this off season I want to get traded what what happens is is that

You will not be allowed to aggregate money you will not be allowed to um combine Tyler hero and something else or you know two Duncan Robinson and a a 145 million player and that makes it extremely hard as far as how you can continually add on um uh add onto your

Onto your roster I remember Caleb Martin’s got a a player option uh this offseason here and where Miami’s finances are like they’re we’ll pull it up right now um they are the internet slow uh oh we have it right here so Miami right now for next off season has

Um $159 million in salary okay the second apron is $190 million you’re about $31 million what what happens is that Larry comes off let’s say you add a um um a Terry roier then you’re you’re pushed up against that that number here as far as

At 190 so you at 23 or at 182 what happens you basically are now forced to basically let Cale Martin walk here because once you exceed that second apron you are not allowed to as I said aggregate money so there’s the business side of it as far as looking longterm

There’s the basketball side of it so we say yeah let I want to flip that contract I want to a guard that can come in and help right now um and that never used to exist until this new collective bargaining agreement came in what you can what the argument you can make

Though um is certainly hey um you know we can go out and um go maybe take less money back in a deal um you know certainly lower our our our apron here but what happens is is that even if you are let’s say you um you you’re you you

Go 29 million in Kyle’s money and and 2223 million for Terry’s money now that puts you under the the second apron this year right great however if you go out and you spend you know aggregate money in the offseason before July 1 send cash at the trade deadline you’re basically hard

Capped at that 190 number okay you are hard CA and you it limits the flexibility as I said if Caleb Martin um you know opts out and is looking to maybe double his contract here so there’s a lot of different you know balls in the air as far as as I said

Like balancing the finances and as far as the basketball side of it because right now like you want to give Miami as much of a pass as any team out there because you’ll just say you know what they’re going to figure it out you know they’re still a top you know I think

They’re I think they’re probably a borderline they’re a playing team right now almost top six they’ll figure it out we get to just get them to the playoffs just get to 82 games get them they’re healthy and eventually they’ll figure it out and that’s certainly you can say

That how the East is where you look at it like who who scares you in East you beat Boston in the series last year you’ve beaten Philadelphia before Milwaukee does that scare you uh Cleveland New York You’ beaten those teams before but then on the other side

You’re saying you know what we might have run its course and Kyle’s our last big trade asset as far as flipping it for a player that can come out and um and help us right now here so that’s a little bit of kind of the mindset of if

You’re working in that heat front office and look looking at the um looking at the you know long-term picture here is how do you get a player that can help now and how do you still have your options in the off season here when you

Do have let’s say if it cost you a one in this in this trade that you still have maybe two first and you have some pick swaps here how do you still have the flexibility to go go about doing that and listen if you want to um if you

Want to just drop under the apron you can move a player like you know Drew Smith who’s you know out for the year he’s on a $1.8 million contract attach cash to it and that would drop you under if that’s your only move that you’re willing to do and then that will give

You the flexibility because now you’re under the second apron in the off season to go out and Aggregate and and buy picks as long as you don’t exceed that that’s something small here um but as I said Miami is kind of in this like weird they’re like in a malays like like you

Know the the Atlanta game on Friday night the Murray 3 they should have lost in Brooklyn they were not good in Brooklyn they get blown out in Toronto you get blown out in the second half in Orlando on on Sunday night here and eventually you you know it’s either

Going to be like Yep they’re going to figure it out or you know what they’re going to raise their hand in the next two two and a/2 weeks and say we need we need another guard out there we need a tus Jones we need a Terry roier and

We’re going to flip it and we’ll worry about the consequences it in the uh in the off season here so that’s I know there’s a lot of like financial implications here but that’s you know that this is what the world we’re living in with this this new collective

Bargaining agreement where it used to be like you know what I’m okay paying $30 million in luxury tax now it’s like okay I’m going to pay more money in a tax or maybe less how does it impact me in the offseason when I can’t go out and buy

Picks or aggregate contracts um the other thing too is where Miami is sitting right now uh unless they move um you know they’re in you know first and second they’re at the second apron here they’re not allowed to go out and sign a player um no matter what if they were

Bought out of their contract or waved had had more of a salary of more than 12.4 million Gordon Hayward for example I’ve been using that gets bought out in Charlotte they won’t be able to go out and sign him here um they’ve got an open roster spot they’ve got 15.2 million

Over the tax they’re paying a $29 million penalty um bunch of guys got some trade bonuses Kevin Love has got veto power um we went over the draft picks and they’ve got those three exceptions 95 72 and 47 they can go out and use them because I said once we get

Into the off season those essentially become um become Frozen same with you know that $7 million they have in cash available to send out so that’s it on the heat hopefully you guys have a good Monday uh and we will talk [Applause] soon NBA is

Bobby Marks’ Miami Heat Trade Guide | NBA on ESPN
Bobby Marks breaks down the state of the Miami Heat and shares his trade guide.
#ESPN #NBA

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