College Basketball Picks Today (2/14/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

College Basketball Picks Today (2/14/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

What’s up everybody M and jesi here back again with the odd shopper channel today we’re talking some college basketball bets it’s Wednesday February the 14th before we get started make sure to hit that Thumbs Up Button subscribe to the channel and hit the notification Bell so

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In most areas all right let’s Circle back to yesterday quickly before we move into this fine Wednesday slated games awfully nice of the NCAA to give us some fun matchups on Valentine’s Day but pushing money around the last couple days after finishing last week solid we went five and five total those extra

Games I talked about at the end I did end up adding and didn’t really matter as far as the wins go Marquette looked awesome against Butler on their road trip they’ll move to Yukon this weekend on Saturday in a pair of games against Yukon this year that will make her break

The Big East these are the top two teams but they outlasted a butler team that looked very good themselves so a nice showing from Marquette they cover the spread on the road whether you got that early or late from there had a nice under in the Buffalo Northern Illinois

Game those players we expected out for Northern Illinois were in fact out Iowa State really ugly game Iowa State missed their first 16 threes and they still were able to beat Cincinnati that defense is just stifling and when they hit their threes it’s going to be a nightmare for opposing teams that face

Iowa state that was on the road alisu covers against Florida that was another solid one a lot of the totals I bet yesterday did not hit was on some unders and again the only one of those that came in was Buffalo NIU and then we had

A grec Tennessee State they did not get the cover I did not catch much of that game so I won’t lie to you there and then Miss Kentucky Believe Miss lost by 12 133 something in there just inefficient play against a really bad Kentucky defense seeing miss scor in the

60s should be a concern for them moving forward they do not quite have the resume where they’re locked into the tournament so they can’t really afford to take some of those L’s as far as SEC SEC teams go they’re closer to the bubble than some of the other ones but

Let’s spend this forward fun slate tonight some Premier conferences and some Greece as usual we’ll kick things off in the SEC South Carolina takes on Auburn this is a game where I like a road team I don’t think we’re getting enough respect with South Carolina in this spot

Auburn’s been a tricky point for me all season we you know back backed Bama against Auburn they get a resounding win we backed Auburn against Florida over the weekend they got embarrassed and now they’re playing South Carolina and I think a lot of the number you see in the

Screen the 11 and a half that favors Auburn comes down to this strength of schedule South Carolina’s 108 Auburn is 57th but we’ve talked about this at length now with auburn I’m not really sure the strength of schedule’s quite as good as some people make it out to be

Again I’ll just rehash this briefly they lost to Baylor in their open then their best non-con wins were against Virginia Tech Indiana USC those teams are awful within conference play they’ve beaten Texas A&M that’s solid beat LSU once all Miss now and Alabama the back half of their schedule features the best teams

In this conference Tennessee Kentucky these are like backloaded games and now they face South Carolina here meanwhile the South Carolina schedule yeah it’s not great either but I don’t think we can really give significant advant ADV vantages Auburn’s Direction This South Carolina team beat Virginia Tech in the

Noncon then they had Notre Dame a close loss to Clemson that was by five points and they did beat a solid G mid- major team in Grand Canyon which I think we should at least know but within the SEC this team has actually played well their schedule’s not backloaded they’ve

Already beaten Kentucky Tennessee and Old Miss within the last month I mean this is a pretty good schedule that this team is been able to withstand and they’re at the top of the SEC right now for a good reason so when we’re talking points I do think it’s too much to get

Into the Stylistics both these teams are pretty good everywhere Auburn they’re going to run that 12-man rotation they’re excellent inside that’s not always where South Carolina scores anyway this team shoots a lot of Threes they’re 41st in three-point percentage and they are pretty good with a lot of

The ancillary metrics too you know Auburn lives through turnovers that are 67 there gener ating them South Carolina’s in the top 100 in turnovers committed that’s not really a problem for them and this Auburn team I still have a lot of questions they’re awesome inside which an i broom and Jaylen

Williams but South Carolina is also very strong inside that’s the strength of their defense especially getting their freshman Colin Murray BS going along with BJ Mack and some of the players they have on the inside that’s no longer the matchup I think that people initially thought in the year where

South Carolina could be exploited and mainly that’s just because they’re getting awesome minutes of those contributors like Colin Murray boil they’re six7 freshman this kid is a wagon and this team’s also healthier they got back mil study recently 66 Winger for them shooting 40% from three ton Cooper’s been a revelation the

Transfer 46% three-point shooter and that’s allowed them to play meei Johnson in more of a facilitator role and he’s been 30 31 minutes a game it’s it’s not a huge role for Mei Johnson I mean it’s a good role but at the beginning of the year I thought they were going to rely

On him for like 37 minutes a game and they don’t have to do that the depth here is pretty good for South Carolina so ultimately I do think Auburn wins this game not really buying South Carolina upset stuff on the road but I do think 11 and a half points is pretty

Egregious for team that’s proven themselves near the top of the SEC moving to the Big 10 the bane of my existence alongside Auburn Iowa takes on Maryland I like another road team here I promise I’m not back in all Road teams there’s plenty of home teams later in

The show but these teams are basically Polar Opposites Iowa 20th on offense Maryland 218 it’s the exact opposite on defense Iowa 171 on defense Maryland seven Maryland just can’t score if they could get anything out of their players on offense this might be a different story and I think they’d run away with

This but they’re 314th and effective field goal percentage I don’t even know if that is if Iowa defense is bad enough for Maryland to shine in this matchup I mean this this team team is horrible on offense 263 inside 337 from three you’re telling me there’s only 25 teams worse in the country

Shooting threes than Maryland that is horrifically bad and how this team wins A lot of the time is just their defense causing turnovers 54th in turnovers generated Iowa is extremely disciplined with the ball only eighth in turnovers committed this year Iowa was also rarely in foul trouble it’s basically just

Freeman who struggles with this the rest of their roster is fine as a team they’re 54th and fouls committed that’s another way Maryland succeeds they get teams to foul and then Maryland gets to the line for what it’s worth they’re not the best free throw shooting team either

210th it’s just another piece of evidence towards this bad shooting and offensive team that Maryland is but can Iowa score on the Maryland defense I think is the big question where could they possibly have success Maryland’s best asset on D is the inside they’re eighth defending there but they’re

Outside the top 100 at shooting threes I was not bad at shooting threes they’ve gotten really really good player to Josh dicks recently which is another thing I did not see heading into the year but as far as Josh dicks goes in the three-point shooting he’s at 46% from

Three pton Sanford is giving them awesome in is at 38% if these two players can basically just keep Iowa alive from three you have a really good chance of actually coming out and scoring on this Maryland defense and from there you do have pretty significant size advantages Iowa’s

Direction too so this Maryland team inside yeah they’re great they’re 154th in effective height and rebounding wise they kind of just win through effort when I look at the player Personnel for Maryland I think they might be at a disadvantage here you’re basically relying on Julian Reese and Dante Scott

Jordan jono’s been hurt so I’m not sure if he’ll even be back but Reese is 69 Dante Scott is 68 and they’re awesome but Owen Freeman 610 Ben cricky 69 you have Pat mcaffrey at 69 I mean pyton Sanford 67 it’s not just the front Court that’s

Tall for Iowa this is a big roster across the board they use Tony Perkins at the point guard he’s 64 your have size advantages all over the court for Iowa so I kind of not buying this potential Advantage Maryland’s Direction on the interior as far as defense goes I

Was very good on offense in that area they’re 51st and interior scoring and I think they’ll have enough success to keep this within the five here pretty close to efficient but I still think enough where we can take a position on the Hawkeyes we’ll go to a total in the Pack

12 Oregon State takes on Arizona State this game is as greasy as it comes both the this conference as a whole is just pretty bad and neither of these teams are any good pacing in this game should be the main Crux of the handicap Oregon state is 309th in Pace that should slow

Down an Arizona team who’s fairly fast they’re 78th but the biggest thing here I think is that both teams have slowed within conference play so you see Arizona State drop from 78th to 102nd Oregon State’s even dropped and they don’t have much room to drop any further

They’re down to 319th in adjusted Tempo over the last six weeks neither team can shoot Oregon State 239 effective field goal percentage Arizona State 283 some other stylistic stuff that could maybe halt some opportunities on offense Arizona State plays this press pressure defense 47th in turnovers forced Oregon

State is 283 in turnovers committed that could lead to some possessions down the floor that end up being hollow pretty rough game here overall and when games are ugly like this and you get decent totals like 137 where pacing doesn’t line up you can just count me in for an

Under sticking out west but going to the superior conference we’ll talk Utah State versus Wyoming looking at another total here this one’s a little healthier but I think it’s another under we could potentially take a look at pacing in this game I think also could be a little

Bit of an issue when you look at both teams you have one team playing fast that’s Utah State and then Wyoming below average at 212 in terms of pace and I don’t think this is getting better for either team really Wyoming has dropped to 258 they’ve struggled with some

Injuries not to like main contributors but when you have to narrow your rotation kind of behooves you to play slow so these guys can get a little bit extra rest and not just be sprinting up and down the court if this goes over Utah State’s going to have to do most of

The work you can see the efficiency metrics they’re 45th in offense Wyoming’s defense is 233 so not really anticipating any trouble for them scoring a lot of the ancillary stuff Wyoming does play with pretty solid height for whatever reason they’re still pretty bad on the inside

323 but I mean 43rd in effective height that matches up pretty well with Utah state if they can ever find a pulse with some of these players and then I just don’t know how Wyoming scores 140th an offensive efficiency is not terrible but Utah state is excellent on defense and Utah State’s primary

Defensive strength is defending the perimeter in the three they’re ninth in the country at opposing three-point percentage that’s all Wyoming does well they’re 76th in three-point percentage so you have this Utah State neutralizing the only thing Wyoming does well on offense this team is terrible inside 249 on offense from the interior

They don’t even exploit this potential weakness on Utah State’s defense so I think this is one this one’s pretty clear-cut Wyoming I don’t anticipate them having much success and if Utah State can’t get this to like 80 85 points themselves see this going under pretty clearly let’s turn to the greasy section

Of our program but I want to talk about odd Chopper in relation to this game I think Murray State minus three is where you want to look but search the best lines here two and a halfes are not available to me but I think you can find

Them in legal states I of course infamously and against my better judgment live in the illegal state of Wisconsin odd Shopper you can head to the link below take a look at this it allows you to sort by state find the best odds in your state whatever books

You want very customizable and this helps you save money I mean the difference between a two and a half and a three in college basketball is huge this can make the difference in your season at times if you’re having a little bit of a rough season or it’s

Close but there’s other tools involved at odd Chopper we have a market-based approach which is going to give you plus EV bets across Sports it’s not just college basketball and we’ve Consolidated all our offerings into one package which includes our Discord experts are in there taking advantage of

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Check it out at the very least for a week otherwise let’s get back to this game Murray State Missouri State so interesting contest here and I the reason I bring up odd Chopper is I think this one’s pretty close so the the line does matter overall this team we’ll

Start with Missouri state they’re pretty decent especially on defense they have an edge there it’s slight and then Murray State holds the edge on offense but both these teams are pretty close and effective field goal 218 to 2011 where you see these teams succeed primarily on the inside for

Murray State which is interesting because they do seed a lot of height they’re 326 there excuse me Murray State is 326 Missouri state is 172 and that shows up in rebounding Missouri State 36 Murray State 237 but with Murray State you did have Alden Apple White injured for a lot of

This year he’s back now and I think that’s pretty important to this team if you just look at Evan mia.com Donovan Clay is the only player in the top 30 for Missouri State he’s 16 Murray State has jacobe wood and Alden Apple White at 17 and 24 giving

You two top 30 players and I think an overall better basis for this Talent roster and especially with Apple White this is one of the better players for this team he’s a player with size at 67 so that sort of helps neutralize the potential size advantage on the Missouri

State side and this team is pretty good at shooting threes you have jacobe wood that player I mentioned who’s statistically the best option on the team he’s at 42% from three Quincy Anderson’s at 38% you look at the shooting on the other side for Missouri State this is a place where they really

Struggle they don’t have anybody on the entire team shooting over 36% from three so even with a potential defensive weakness on this Murray State side it’s not really too severe in comparison and then the offensive struggles for Missouri State I think are going to be enough where you can see Murray cover

This spread I’m not reasoning realizing Missouri State and Murray State pretty damn close in pronunciation so apologies there last thing Murray State forces a lot of turnovers they’re 81st Missouri State 170th and turnovers committed that could be another potential Edge that works Murray State’s direction as they cover a three and a

Half in this spot or a three whatever you find all right next up St Joe’s takes on lyola and this is one where I am back in a road team in St Joe’s plus four and a half is the number I want to get I’m buying low on St Joe’s and selling high

On Loyola just to put this simply I think there’s a lot of advantages St Joe’s Direction even though they’re on the road two teams that are also polar opposite St Joe’s 69 on offense 142 on D loyal of 172 and0 39 on D but effective

Field goal St Joe’s 36 loyal to 80 we have the better shooting team in St Joe’s we have the taller team they’re 133 to 272 in effective height rebounding is identical but I think that’s just more of an effort thing and it also gets loyal in foul trouble quite

A bit they’re 325th in fouls committed they they’re in foul trouble all of the time but there’s a major weakness for loyal as defense even though they’re 39th overall this team is awesome at defending the rim they force you to shoot over the top second in interior defense 289th in three-point defense

What does St J St Joe’s do best this team is full of snipers from three 15th in three point rate 30th in three point percentage that’s exactly what this team does if you’re drawing up a stylistic matchup to beat lyola this is the team you want to look at it’s St Joe’s the

Way they’re comprised and just full of flamethrowers Eric Reynolds 41% Xavier Brown 43% Christ Essen condo doco 41% Cameron Brown 40% that’s four players over 40% from three that are going up against this weak three-point defense from loyala Chicago then on the other side loyal is pretty good

Themselves they win inside that’s also a problem because that’s the strength of St Jose defense again we mentioned the height Advantage they have there this Loyola team is decent at shooting threes but they’re not up to the same level as St Joe’s obviously when you win inside and you’re facing that interior strength

Of St Joe’s it’s just not the best stylistic matchup for lyola so I think getting points here at four and a half makes a lot of sense with St Joe’s last one we’ll talk about UMass takes on Richmond and we’ll be back in the home team here Richmond’s kind of

Been a little wag for us throughout the year now that they’re fully healthy getting Delani hunt back UMass is a pretty good team themselves they also dealt with a key injury Matt cross has been out for this team for much of the year but I’m not sure his return is

Enough for this team Matt cross is awesome he’s one of the best players in this entire conference but he plays in the front Court Richmond they play solid defense they’re 21st overall they’re 36th at defending the interior they’re actually 20th at defending the perimeter this team has awesome size they’re 53rd

And effective height that works directly against the strength of UMass which in my opinion is basically just whatever Matt cross can do to you and then this Richmond team is pretty good shooting themselves 73rd and effective field goal compared to UMass they’re 140 they score inside and out and the biggest Advantage

They have is against this UMass guard play Richmond 50th and three-o percentage UMass is 258 at defending the perimeter and Richmond can score inside they they’re definitely fine there that’s just where UMass is strong on D so I think if you’re trying to exploit matchups you probably just look to the

Perimeter again UMass 258 and 3o d and this rebounding stuff I do not buy it Richmond’s been hurt for much of the year but 44 versus 304 like the effective height numbers don’t really add up here 53 vers 169 and of course this is Pace adjusted so I’m just not

Buying that the Gap is quite as high here and I think part of the reason is Richmond style of play they just do not attack the offensive glass whereas that’s basically all UMass does UMass is 10th in offensive rebounding Richmond’s 362 so just prioritizing getting back on

D not attacking the glass and then that 10th offensive rebounding Mark for UMass they get in a ton of fouls offensive fouls over the backs this team is 307th in fouls committed Richmond’s the exact opposite 16th and fouls committed so if you get into the potential free throw

Battle here Richmond’s 80th in free throw percentage UMass is 281 Richmond far more likely to be at the line than UMass in this contest so we’ll back the team that I don’t think is appropriately priced because of injuries throughout the year Richmond over UMass minus three

And a half that’ll do it for us today thank you guys for watching if you have a comment please leave it below it helps the channel Aon and I appreciate it very much just want to say that to you if you have any questions I’m on Twitter _

Gajeski and happy to answer them my DMs are until tomorrow good luck everyone we’ll see you then

College Basketball Bets Wednesday February 14 NCAAB Picks & Predictions Today

Matt Gajewski gives his best CBB NCAA bets, picks and predictions for 2/14/24.

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College Basketball Picks & Predictions Today

00:00 Best NCAAB Picks & CBB Predictions
2:44 South Carolina vs Auburn
6:23 Iowa vs Maryland
9:36 Oregon State vs Arizona State
10:53 Utah State vs Wyoming
12:45 Missouri State vs Murray State
16:34 Saint Joseph’s vs Loyola Chicago
18:51 UMass vs Richmond
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