Of course the Spurs are willing do make that deal lol. The best asset they have is probably the Hawks pick this year tbh.
If the Jazz trade Lauri they’d be pretty solidly in the bottom 5 so let’s say 4th and Hawks finish 10th (considering they have no motivation to lose and many other teams would tank below them). Jazz would actually have the best odds for the number 1 pick in that situation (12.5% chance + 3% chance) without having to be in the bottom 3 – with each team only having a 14% chance. That’s not including a year from hell from Cleveland (Donovan injury) and they finish in the lottery giving the Jazz some more lottery balls.
patientpump54
Spurs picks will be shit. This would be a terrible trade
austinc668
Not worth having a conversation if Castle isn’t included.
MindInTheClouds
Spurs fan coming in peace, downvote if necessary.
**Short version:** I think “Keldon + picks” is probably about the max that the Spurs will offer for Markkanen. Is that enough for the Jazz to say yes? Probably not.
**Longer version:**
I don’t see the Spurs giving up Vassell or Castle, I think that’s a non-starter for them. I could maybe see a universe where they give up Sochan, since there’s some positional overlap with Lauri, but I think that would be in place of a bit of draft capital, which wouldn’t make Utah very happy.
**Other players:** I could see the Spurs offering to include Blake Wesley and Malaki Branham (young, third year players who have shown some upside, but honestly probably don’t have a ton of value at the moment) and maybe Tre Jones (this might actually move the needle a little bit for the Jazz, since I think Jones could be flipped to a contender for a first rounder).
**Draft picks:** It’s hard to see the Spurs parting with their own or Atlanta’s first in 2025 without some protection attached (maybe top 4?). I do think they’d probably give up Chicago’s 1st (top-10 protected in 2025, top-8 protected in 2026 and 2027). Utah’s best chance at unprotected picks would probably be 2027 (maybe Atlanta’s, likely San Antonio’s own) and Minnesota’s 2031 unprotected 1st. The Spurs also have a lot of 2nd rounders and a couple pick swaps they might be willing to include.
**Summary:** My guess is the Spurs top offer could be something like Keldon+Jones+minor players, 3 firsts (2 unprotected), some 2nds/swaps thrown in. Do I expect the Jazz to accept this? Not really, but I don’t think the Spurs are desperate enough on their current timeline to go above this offer.
**My best guess:** 60% Utah keeps Lauri, 30% Golden State or another team ups their offer to make it acceptable, 10% Utah lowers their asking price to an offer like the Spurs one outlined above.
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4 Comments
Of course the Spurs are willing do make that deal lol. The best asset they have is probably the Hawks pick this year tbh.
If the Jazz trade Lauri they’d be pretty solidly in the bottom 5 so let’s say 4th and Hawks finish 10th (considering they have no motivation to lose and many other teams would tank below them). Jazz would actually have the best odds for the number 1 pick in that situation (12.5% chance + 3% chance) without having to be in the bottom 3 – with each team only having a 14% chance. That’s not including a year from hell from Cleveland (Donovan injury) and they finish in the lottery giving the Jazz some more lottery balls.
Spurs picks will be shit. This would be a terrible trade
Not worth having a conversation if Castle isn’t included.
Spurs fan coming in peace, downvote if necessary.
**Short version:** I think “Keldon + picks” is probably about the max that the Spurs will offer for Markkanen. Is that enough for the Jazz to say yes? Probably not.
**Longer version:**
I don’t see the Spurs giving up Vassell or Castle, I think that’s a non-starter for them. I could maybe see a universe where they give up Sochan, since there’s some positional overlap with Lauri, but I think that would be in place of a bit of draft capital, which wouldn’t make Utah very happy.
**Other players:** I could see the Spurs offering to include Blake Wesley and Malaki Branham (young, third year players who have shown some upside, but honestly probably don’t have a ton of value at the moment) and maybe Tre Jones (this might actually move the needle a little bit for the Jazz, since I think Jones could be flipped to a contender for a first rounder).
**Draft picks:** It’s hard to see the Spurs parting with their own or Atlanta’s first in 2025 without some protection attached (maybe top 4?). I do think they’d probably give up Chicago’s 1st (top-10 protected in 2025, top-8 protected in 2026 and 2027). Utah’s best chance at unprotected picks would probably be 2027 (maybe Atlanta’s, likely San Antonio’s own) and Minnesota’s 2031 unprotected 1st. The Spurs also have a lot of 2nd rounders and a couple pick swaps they might be willing to include.
**Summary:** My guess is the Spurs top offer could be something like Keldon+Jones+minor players, 3 firsts (2 unprotected), some 2nds/swaps thrown in. Do I expect the Jazz to accept this? Not really, but I don’t think the Spurs are desperate enough on their current timeline to go above this offer.
**My best guess:** 60% Utah keeps Lauri, 30% Golden State or another team ups their offer to make it acceptable, 10% Utah lowers their asking price to an offer like the Spurs one outlined above.