Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 7 Predictions | 2025 NBA Playoffs Picks and Best Bets

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 7 Predictions | 2025 NBA Playoffs Picks and Best Bets

Game seven action this Sunday. Huge game seven between the Nuggets and Thunder on Sunday afternoon. I’m going to break down the side total, player props, free plays, free analysis coming up right here, right now. Hi, this is Steve Merrell, wager talk.com right back here on Wager Talk TV. And it’s a big one. Game seven, Western Conference semifinals. Denver goes back to OKC because they kept the series alive with the home upset win in game six the other night on Thursday. Pulled it out 119 107 as a 5 and a half point dog. really never in doubt as they led by as many as 16 points there. OKC did early have a 12-point lead, so I shouldn’t say it was never in doubt and they did have a 52 to 48 points in the paint edge, but Denver got it done uh with 38% shooting from three-point range. Meanwhile, OKC shot just 28%. So now we get the pivotal game seven. Oklahoma City considered the best team in the NBA this year. They were what, seven games better than anybody else in the win column. They had the most efficient defensive team in the NBA this season, the best net rating overall. So, they were the best team in the NBA this year, but they have underachieved a bit in this series against the veteran Nuggets who were world champs two years ago with an interim head coach. Well, what happens here in game seven? Well, first of all, class A teams like OKC normally get the win at home in game seven. So, I do expect the Thunder to win this game, but of course, winning and covering the seven and a half are two different things. We’ll talk about that in a moment. But, let’s keep in mind, another trend that really stands out is unders in game seven. talked about this in the previous round. Of course, uh Denver and LA Clippers had a game seven and that game went over. The Golden State Houston game stayed under, but as I told you in the previous round, and this comes courtesy of Stat Daddy Ralph Michaels at Cal SportsLV on Twitter on X. Ralph points out that round one overunders are 50/50. It’s round two and later when you get more quality teams playing that the unders start to shine. In fact, going back to 2002, Ralph points out that overunders are 17 and 16 in round one game sevens, including one and one this year. We’ve actually had an extra over than an over. Uh 17 over, 16 unders over the last 23 years. But in round two and on, 28 unders, 10 over. So 28 and 10 to the under. So that game seven under angle does work starting now. And it makes a lot of sense because you get better teams in round two and further in the playoffs. And I think it makes sense in this game as the Thunder once again the most efficient defense in the NBA this season. And coming off a loss back at home, you got to really expect that defensive intensity to shine in this one. Also for the Nuggets, probably not to shoot as well on the road here in the rematch. Question becomes, can Oklahoma City do enough offensively to get it done? talked about how the Nuggets went to the zone defense in game five and really gave the Thunder Fitz and Oklahoma City once again stayed under their team total in game six with only 107 points on the road Thursday night. Um SJ Gilchrist Alexander has been trying to get the ball to the hoop. Sometimes the zone prevents that. He did have a better game after just 30 points. He had 32 points in game number six the other night, but he was 11 for 16 shooting. Can’t shoot much better than that. He took less shot attempts and the only reason he finished with 32 is cuz he just didn’t miss. He was more selective, got to the free throw line. But the guy I want to talk about is Jaylen Williams. Boy, did he have a stinker. You know, I mentioned him as a possible overplay in game number six. Well, once again, he stayed under. Jaylen Williams has now gone under in five of his six games in this series. It was 22 and a half in game two. It was 21 and a half a few games after that. It was 20 and a half in game six is why I thought we had some value. Well, now we’re definitely getting value because it’s down to 19.5. Now, the concern is that I think the game will be low scoring or lower scoring, but I still think if you’re looking to play Jaylen Williams, he over has some value now. He can’t shoot much worse than he did the three previous games. He came in shooting just 25% in games four and five, and he did was even worse. Three for 16 in game six. So, yes, he has trouble hitting shots, but I think that’s just an abnormality. This is a guy that’s averaged almost 50% shooting for his career in the NBA. And after bad shooting games in one and two, keep in mind he bounced back with a huge excellent shooting game in game three earlier in this series with 32 points. So I do think we could take a chance once again with Jaylen Williams over 19 and a half points. There is some value now, especially if SGA takes less shots like he did in game six. And the zone actually benefits Williams. I think he’s better against it if Denver comes with that approach and once gets a little bit of a hedge as well to the full game under. As far as the side in this game, I do think OKC wins. not looking to lay the big juice on the money line. So, if you’re going to play it, I would play the side. If you pick the straight up winner, you normally get the points right about 90% of the time. Uh, so I do like the Thunder minus 7 and a half for that reason. And while it might seem like a big number since Denver’s been playing this series close, keep in mind we’re actually getting some value. Now, let’s look at the current number, the previous numbers in this series so far. Game one, Thunder, a 10 and a half point favorite. Game two, Thunder a 10 and a half point home favorite. Game five, the Thunder a 10 and 1/2 point home favorite. And now game seven off a loss at home, which is historically a good spot in game seven for the home team, especially off a loss. They’re only seven and a half. We’re getting three points of extra line value here based on the previous results. So I do like OKC. I think this line’s been adjusted a bit too low. And my early public numbers show Denver is a going to be a public play here, which isn’t a surprise. So I think we get a little bit of a fade the public situation here with the Thunderus 7 and a half and the under 213 213 and a half in this game as well. There you go. I’d lean Oklahoma City and the under here for game 7 on Sunday afternoon. That’s on ABC at 3:30 Eastern. Hey, don’t forget if you want my official best bets and by the way let’s look at some player props real quick. I don’t do a lot of player props for best bets. I’ll try to give them to you free in the video here. I mentioned Jaylen Williams over uh I’d be neutral on SGA. I I think he’s having some trouble if they go zone again. Uh Denver Jokic, we mentioned his assist prop under. He went under his assist prop for the sixth straight time in this series. He finished with eight. He almost got there, but he’s now had eight assists or less in every one of these six games. And he’s at eight assists or less now in 10 of the last 11 playoff games this postseason. Uh I love the comments. I read the comments. I reply back. One of you had a great comment the other day for game six saying that he’s actually getting a lot of potential assists. the guys just aren’t converting. Um, so that is a concern with the assist prop under because I think it’s kind of priced to perfection now. Um, but I will say Oklahoma City the best defensive team in the NBA this year. It’s probably not a coincidence that the other Nugget players are not converting as many possible assists. So once again, Jokic assist prop is now 6 and0 under in this series and they’ve moved it from 9 and a half down to 8 and a half. He only had eight, but it looks like it’s pretty much priced what it should be right now. Last I saw, his assist prop for this game is priced about 8 and 1/2. We even see some seven and a halfs juice now. So, it’s about 88 and a half to the under. Probably not a ton of value left, but once again, I would lean assist under for Jokic as it’s hidden every game so far in this series. A guy we’ve been fading almost every game this series, Michael Porter Jr. Um, he was four for nine. Finished with 10 points, but four for nine shooting. Can’t shoot much better than that. So, yes, he snuck over his nine and a half total points, but he shot over almost 50% from the field. Keep in mind, he’d had eight points or less in four the other five games in this series. He’s had 10 or less in five of the six, eight or less in four the other five. And he’s priced at nine and a half here. And if it is a bad game for Denver in a lower scoring game, I think Michael Porter Jr. under nine and a half points makes a lot of sense on Sunday afternoon. All right, there you go. Some bonus props for you. Side total player props. Hope you enjoyed it. I’ve done every NBA playoff game every day here in the postseason and I will continue to do so for the Eastern and Western Conference Finals next week and also the NBA Finals which are around the corner in June. If you’re finding it useful, all I ask is a thumbs up, like for the video, and a positive comment below because yes, I read the comments and I reply back. And don’t forget, I’m also doing more free play baseball videos daily here as well. So, make sure you click subscribe and you click that bell here on in uh for the instant alerts on Wager Talk TV. Now, these free play videos, I give you a lot of sides, totals, player prop opinions. But if you want my official best bets for every NBA playoff game and also every MLB playoff game or NBA MLB regular season game right now that I’m using my personal best bets, and they are my personal best bets because it’s quite simple. If I have a play, it goes out to my clients each and every day at Wager Talk. Doesn’t matter if you have a one day, a one week, a one month, or a one-year subscription. Every client gets the exact same best bets I’m personally using. same games I’ve won with consistently for the last 29 years since 1996 when I became a full-time professional handicapper. This is my career since I was 22 years old and I continue to do it on a daily basis. If you’d like to put that hard work, that expertise to work for you and take a serious investment approach. Now is a great time to get on board a one-year all access special right now at wageralk.com and you get an instant $811 discount. No promo code needed. That gets it down, as you see on the screen, to exactly $99 a month. That’s over just over $3 a day. $3.25 to be exact. And that works out to just over a dollar a play because I average two to three best bets per day on average for all sports clients. Once again, just over a dollar a play gets you the next full 365 days and nights of not only pro basketball, Major League Baseball, but also all of next year’s NFL and college football seasons, all of next year’s college basketball seasons, all of next year’s NBA regular season into the playoffs next year, into the next year’s baseball season, the rest of this year. You get the point. It is all inclusive. If I have a play, you get it. And it works out to about a dollar a play. There’s no promo code needed this weekend only. Plus, you get an added 25% bonus coupon, which you can use on any selection, any pick, any purchase for the next year, every day for the next year at Wager Talk. Now, yes, you’re getting all of my best bets. There’s nothing else to buy for the next 365 days, but I don’t do hockey. I don’t do UFC. I don’t do horse racing. You might see a big 5% play by somebody else at Wager Talk, or maybe you want to get the PNEness this weekend, or you want to get the Belmont in a few weeks, or a UFC fight. Whenever you want to get another capper, you can get a 25% instant discount on every pick you get for the next year along with all of my best bets. This is the best all sports opportunity you’ve had all year. Don’t miss it. And there’s no promo code needed. Steve steve mel wageralk.com and get to my page quicker with shortcut wt.buzzm. Now, if you’re not ready for a one-year all sports investment approach, if you’re still building your bankroll or if you’re new to sports betting, new to wager talk, we do have a three-day sampler this weekend uh which goes through next Tuesday. So, you have a few more days to get it still. But once again, you can choose any three days and nights and get it for just 49 and there’s no promo code needed there. Normally it’s 69. You get a special discount. Get it down to 49. So if you want to try a three-day sampler, do it for 49 and then jump on board my one-year all access. You have until Tuesday to do this. So yes, you could get the 3-day and then get the all sports right after that. Or even if you miss it by a day, hey, message customer support. They’re the best in the business. They’ll probably let you get on board. So if you want to try the 3-day and then get on board the one year, that’s fine as well. Every client gets the same plays I’m personally using. It doesn’t matter if it’s a one day, a one week, a one month, or a one year. Check it out. Along with a bonus free play, very selective. Two to three best bets means that last cut just a bit outside is still a strong opinion. I don’t want to waste it. I put it up for free for everybody. So, free play every day. Strong best bets. And most importantly, those great all sports offers right now. No promo codes needed. Steve Merrell, wageralk.com. Get to my page quicker with shortcut wt.buzzsm. Hey, comment below on your thoughts in game seven here between the Thunder and Nuggets on Sunday afternoon. Side total, what player props are you looking at? I do honestly believe we have the sharpest and smartest sports betting viewers right here on Wager Talk TV. I read the comments, I reply back. Hey, include some analysis if you have time as well. Let’s learn and earn and win together here on Wager Talk TV. And don’t forget, you can also follow me on social media on X and Instagram, Steve Merrill. You see it on the bottom of your screen there. Two Rs, one L, Steve Merrill on X and Instagram. And stay tuned here to Wager Talk TV because you know there’s more free play videos coming up

🏀 Join NBA betting expert Steve Merril as he breaks down Sunday’s Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 7 clash as he breaks down how to wager this Eastern Conference semifinal matchup. What is his free NBA Playoffs prediction? Get his betting insights now!

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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Game 7 Preview | May 18, 2025​

🏀 Game 7: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder – Western Conference Semifinals

📅 Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:30 PM ET
📍 Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
📺 TV Broadcast: ABC
📻 Radio Broadcasts:
Denver: Altitude Sports Radio 92.5 FM & 950 AM
Oklahoma City: WWLS-FM 98.1 “The Sports Animal” (Thunder Radio Network)
💻 Online Streaming:
U.S.: ABC app, Sling TV, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, DirecTV Stream, Max (TNT games)
International: NBA League Pass (VPN may be required)

📊 Betting Odds (as of May 16, 2025):
Spread: Thunder -5
Total Points (O/U): 233.5

🔍 Series Overview:
Regular Season Series: Tied 2–2
Playoff Series: Tied 3–3

Notable Game: In Game 6, Denver’s Julian Strawther scored 15 points off the bench, including eight in the final 97 seconds of the third quarter, helping the Nuggets secure a 119–107 victory and force a Game 7 .

📌 Team Hashtags:
Denver Nuggets: #MileHighBasketball
Oklahoma City Thunder: #ThunderUp

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