Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 Predictions | 2025 Western Conference Finals
Well, welcome again to Wager Talk TV. I’m Ross Benjamin of wageralk.com and I’ll be covering game five of the NBA uh Western Conference Finals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder. I have winner a winner in that contest and I’ll get to that very shortly. You know, folks, I’ve read the comments um over the last couple days, and I acknowledge the fact the last couple free pick videos have been horrible. Just not even close. Okay, so with the NBA, I should say. Um, and I acknowledge that and I’m fully aware of it. And some of the comments, I try to read them all. Some of them are just totally disrespectful and indicate that I suck. I don’t know what I’m doing. And I’ve been doing this for two plus decades, folks, professionally and in the public eye. All of my picks get documented. Let me explain something to you real quick. When it comes to free picks, anybody who does this professionally and it’s and is worth their weight in gold isn’t going to give you one of their best picks of the day or the best pick of the day in these free pick videos. That’s why we sell our best picks because we’re good at what we do. Yesterday we were way off on the free pick video in the Knicks in Indiana game. Okay. But and you know my premium paid selection on Indiana minus 132 on the money line one easily. Okay. And I’ve won six of my last eight in the NBA with my premium picks and 142 and 102 uh since 2022 with my NBA playoff picks. So, you know, it the results speak volumes. They’re all documented. As opposed to 99% of you out there who give out your picks and tell me what your record is, uh, I am exposed every day to that. So, and in terms of betting angles, that’s another thing. Um, and I think this is I don’t like doing this because, uh, I’m going to get some comments with people who are going to be smartasses. There’s no two ways about it. and other people who have been following me for over the last year plus here at Wager Talk TV that know I’ve made them a lot of money over the last year even with these free picks. Uh but the bottom line is this with the uh betting angles folks. I would challenge any one of you to research yourself what I’m giving you in a betting angle um and see if anything I’m giving you is inaccurate. I challenge you to do so because I’m telling you everything I’m giving you is accurate. You never hear anything about betting angles when they win, but you do hear about them when they lose. And some people still calling them trends. A trend is something that is uh related to a teamspecific situation. A betting angle is a leaguewide algorithm or situation and the results hence thereof. So in any event, let’s get to the meat and potatoes. Oklahoma City is a 8 1/2 point favorite. This opened at 8 1/2. It stayed at 8 1/2. The money seems to be split 5050 uh on the point spread betting when it comes to uh either side. Um, I like the way Minnesota’s competed over the last two games at home. I know that they didn’t play well in the first two at Oklahoma City and Oklahoma City is a strong homec court team. I get all that, but you know, they blew out Oklahoma City in game three, put up 143 points, and they suffered a narrow two-point loss in game four. Um the last two games against a very good Oklahoma City defense, defensive team I should say, uh they’ve scored 126 and 143 points. Uh Minnesota, by the way, couple short team trends in season betting ankles. When I say short, a short sample size, the Minnesota Timberwolves 3-0 against the spread this year off a home loss as an away underdog. So 3-0 ATS is an away underdog off a home loss. And there’s only been three times that’s occurred. They covered all three. They won two to three outright. Their average point spread in those three games was plus 7.1. As a matter of fact, one of those two straightup wins came at Oklahoma City as a 12-point underdog. Minnesota’s also 3-0 straight up in ATS this season. That’s a trend, okay? A team trend when they’re coming off a loss by five or less in which they allowed 120 points or more. They allowed 128 in the previous game. They only lost the game by two. And they’ve gone 3 and 0 straight up in ATS in that situation this year. and they won those games by an average of 18 points per game and two of the three games were played on the road and in those three contest they only allowed 101.7 points per game. Those are in season team trends with the same relatively same personnel and exactly the same coaching staff. That’s I I specify that uh because that’s of major importance whenever you talk about a team trend. What’s the coaching staff? What’s the personnel? How long have they been there? Have they been intact for a while? I like myself to look at inseason team trends this late in the year and since 2021. This is a betting angle. This is leaguewide. And I’m going to try to dumb it down for you guys. Not all you guys, but some of the smart asses out there. Uh 2021, since the 2021 NBA playoffs, away underdogs like Minnesota, uh away underdogs of nine or less that are coming off a home loss by seven points or less, nine-0 straight up in ATS. Not only are they they covered all nine, they won all nine outright. Now, I’m not going to call for an outright upset win here. I’m not going to go out on a limb like that because if they want to give me eight and a half points and that goes with anybody anytime they give you points, don’t get greedy. Take the points. Um and in any event, that’s a 9 and0 straight up in ATS leaguewide trend in the NBA playoffs since 2021. NBA playoff away underdogs of nine or less coming off a home loss by seven or fewer like Minnesota is 9 and0 straight up in ATS winning by 11 points per game. Also another uh something of note that you should really know when it comes to game five situations where an away underdog of nine or less is facing elimination. 8-2 against the spread. those away underdogs of nine or less have gone since 2021. Take it for what it’s worth. For those of you who don’t believe in that kind of stuff, that’s, you know, more power to you. Um, watch TV, watch the game, and then overreact the next game because over the long haul, if you’re watching it, the odds makers are watching it, too. It’s about beating a number, folks. It’s not about how much you know. It’s not about what happened in the last game specifically with players, okay? It’s about beating the number. Haven’t done a good job with that in the last two videos, but again, my NBA playoff picks, premium playoff picks are 142 and 102, 58% and uh plus 113 units since 2022. As much as this has been a disappointing NBA postseason this year, I’m still up 113 units since 2022. That’s all documented by wageralk.com. And I’ve won six of my last eight NBA premium picks during this postseason. My major league baseball premium picks 15 and seven with my last 22. All sports premium picks at wagertalk.com 22 and3 63% with my last 35. There you have it. And uh and speaking of what’s going on at wageralk.com. Um you know it’s a it’s getting down to the wire here in terms of this limited time offer which is our wager talk summer celebration under $5 a day. less than $40 a week. Next 96 days, right through Labor Day, it’s going to cost you $579. But you know what? Think of um think of the big picture. I mean, for example, somebody made fun of me and said $849 with all laughings emojis yesterday. Well, it’s $849 not for just me, for all the handicappers at wageralk.com. over a 90-day period. We’re reducing it to 579 and giving you an additional six days. That’s through Labor Day. Why? Because people tend to float away during the summer months and there’s a lot of money to be made. So, take advantage of that offer. Lastly, let me know who you like. You like and tell me why in the comments section. Okay? Let me know who you like today in the comments section. Tell me why, okay? And re be respectful, folks. Not not only to each other, but to me if you’re disrespectful with me, okay? Um I’m used to it, okay? It comes with the territory, but don’t be shocked if you get a smartass remark from me as well. And I’m not g and some people are so ignorant that I am not going to respond. Okay. So, let’s keep it respectful. Let’s make this a community. Let’s not make this a battlefield in the comment section. We’re all trying to help each other here, right? I’ve just done this professionally for 20 plus years, so I’m used to it. Some other people that you pick on in the comments section may not be. So until the next time folks, take care and God bless.
🏀 Join NBA betting expert Ross Benjamin as he breaks down Wednesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 clash as he breaks down which predictions and player props he has for this Western Conference Finals matchup. What are his free NBA Playoffs prediction? Get his betting insights now!
#nbaplayerprops #nbapredictions #nbaplayoffs
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Game 5 | 2025 NBA Western Conference Finals
🕗 Tip-Off: 8:30 PM ET / 5:30 PM PT
📍 Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
📺 TV Broadcast: ESPN
📱 Team Hashtags: #RaisedByWolves (Timberwolves), #ThunderUp (Thunder)
📊 Betting Odds
Point Spread: Thunder -8.5
Over/Under Total: 220.5 points
🔍 Interesting Facts:
The Oklahoma City Thunder have demonstrated a significant home-court advantage throughout the 2025 playoffs. They have covered the spread in 70.2% of their home games this season, making them a formidable opponent at the Paycom Center.
During the regular season, the Minnesota Timberwolves played in a league-high 46 clutch games (games within 5 points in the final 5 minutes), with a 20–26 record. In the playoffs, they’ve improved, going 4–0 in such games. This experience in close games could be pivotal in high-pressure situations like Game 5.
In Game 4, Thunder’s Jalen Williams scored a playoff career-high 34 points, significantly contributing to the team’s 128–126 victory over the Timberwolves. His performance has been a key factor in the Thunder’s success in the series.
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47 Comments
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🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for NBA tonight? Let us know in the comments below 👇
Keep it up Ross, you're doing just fine!
Gave you a “like” because your a MAN – I respect you homie 👊🏾
Thanks Ross Let’s Cash
Pay no attention to the trolls. That's a career job for them
Talk too much at the beginning
Only bitches hide behind their phones and talk shit. Fuck em. I truly appreciate Wager Talk.
Don't get greedy!Take the points.That's a smart man,and that's why Ross is the Bo$$.
thanks for all the free info!💰
very grateful
I lived in Las Vegas for almost 15 years and have mad respect for what you do and the average person has no idea so thank you for taking the time to give out the free stuff as well as everyone else from Wager talk you guys are all first class and I'd have to say Steve Merrow is fantastic as well, but thank you so much 💰 you guys have made me plenty of money and don't let the negative people bother you💵
well im sorry pop. now lets get the cash back ❤🔥
Ross! Don’t let these clowns 🤡 get to you! Ross is Top 🔝 Notch! Coming here for free picks then 😢if doesn’t hit! Respect these Professionals at their Trade. Best of Luck 🍀 ROSS is 🏦💵💰💲🤑
Vegas trap. OKC cruises at home.
Man I been listening to you from Vegas all the way to Houston … keep doing what you doing … I wouldn’t fuck around with this guy yall he sound like he straight from the mob 😂
What a bullshit thing to say, I’ll give you a free pick but if you want the better pick then pay me. Was gonna sub, as soon as I saw that.. no thank you.
Man Okc finna blow Minnesota tf out please fade him 😂
I am seriously so very glad you addressed the haters and the wise guys who love to bash someone who is giving it their all to help others. Yes I agree, you should only sell you best picks like you do! That @ least only makes sense to me! In all seriousness thank-you 4 all you do! "Keep on Keepin' On" !!
I take OKC with the point they will dominate this game because they are better team.
This GUY is the worst
Thanks Ross!! Appreciate it
I could critique a lot of your points here, but sometimes you just need to throw out all the numbers crap and just eyeball. All the stuff you said doesn’t matter in terms of whatever happens in this game. Also the biggest thing here to really all your points, this is an elimination game. That changes everything. I don’t doubt your success and I don’t question what your methods. However a real bettor can just look at the product and know. Thunder by blowout.
took a lot of balls to admit when your wrong thank you i still will follow
Respect for all the free picks cant always win i like the wolves to not go out like that personally i took edwards 8 rebounds also will probaly take the spread
I sell picks as well you gonna have good and bad days
Thank you for your video, you for are a good man.
DONT PAY FOR HIS PREMIUM PICK BULLSHIT!!!!!
Thsnks Ross
R, as WT Audience reaches so many, the cheap shot artists, keyboard, tough guys and outright goons will be plenty. None of those Types matter much at all. We love your analysis, angles, and approach
Why are you fighting the trolls don’t bother
Okc I like because they took they heart in game 4!! Keep doing what you do bro I love your content!!
Ross you a goat 🐐 you don’t have to explain to the zebras
Number 1 rule of the Internet: never address or acknowledge the comments
Ross the Boss. Love the plays! Stomach the internet though bro! Haters never gonna stop in 2025.
Ross, so I’m going to buy the expert picks for today. Can you tell me what the 3% means ?
It's often difficult to be on the point and account for all outcomes. It's professional athletes and nobody is going to be on the right side all the time. You will have good runs and also bad if you play a lot of games.
Ross i like the Thunder to win handidly. I think the T Wolves shot their wad in game 4 and came up short. I just think that hard fought loss really took the wind out of their sail.😮
So he's admitting that his free picks are crap, but his premium picks are better, yet he is still giving y'all free picks which are usually crap…lol
This guy sucks worse than the T-Wolves he picked. I knew the under was gold. For 20+ years in the business….you should find a new career bc you aren’t any good anymore
Well can throw ALL those trends in the trash can..down 33 points at the half
0-3 on NBA this week boss. 😵💫☹️
Your sorry ass is wrong, you need to just quit. You SUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
How's that angel working out for ya
Document this loss how is 50 % profitable
Minnesota 😢
Another tough day Big Ross but I’ve seen enough to know you will turn it around
From the gallery of smart asses, oops!!! Play the number… 😅
Why would I buy your picks if you can’t give out a couple good free ones??? 🤔
Last 2 games have been abdominal picks…… over doing it on stats & trends……game has chg so much over last 2 yrs……. Can’t look at trends that are meaningless in today’s game….. Ross is a good dude & has good picks, but he must balance things out🙏