Trail Blazers Over/Under Win Total Set at 32.5. They Have the Parts to Be Way Better Than That
In today’s show, it’s July and the odds makers think the Blazers are going to be worse than they were last year. Uhoh. Welcome Locked on Blazers. Let’s get into it. You are Locked on Trailblazers, your daily Portland Trailblazers podcast, part of the Locked On podcast network. Your team every day. What up world? It’s your past first point guard and trailblazers reporter Mike Richmond. You’re listening to another episode of Locked on Blazers, part of the Locked On podcast network, available wherever you get podcasts and also on YouTube. Thanks for making this show your first listen coming at you each and every weekday, Monday through Friday. So make it a part of your daily routine. Make your first listen. Tell your friends to do the same. It’s locked on Blazers, your team every day. In today’s show, we’re talking over ununders in July. The good folks over at FanDuel released their early early early early overunder win totals for next season. And uh spoiler for a few minutes into the show, the Blazers are at 32 and a half wins, fewer than they had last season. That’s right. The prognosticators in Vegas think the Blazers are going to win fewer games than they did a season ago. We’ll run through the predictions for the teams in the West. Talk about kind of where I think the Blazers stack up and what’s fair, what isn’t this time of year with the caveat that it’s freaking July 9th. Um, and then I want to talk about kind of where the Blazers, if they were going to smash past this, it’s not really a prediction. It’s a line. It’s a betting line. Quite frankly, it’s a little different. We’ll talk about that in the show, too. If they were to smash past this betting this betting line, what would that look like? What What is that? What is What is What is just like absolutely destroying this betting line look like? And what does falling short of it? What does the under look like? We’ll talk about both of those things to close the show. Let’s get to the numbers, though. The Blazers at 32 and a half. But we’re going to I want to I want to talk about the teams above them because there’s only two teams below them. And the way this thing works, this is over at FanDuel. Uh they’re releasing these super early odds. Uh um you can go get in on this action over on the FanDuel app if that’s a thing you’re into, or you can just be mad about it. Like either way, uh FanDuel has that available. And and really, I’m just sharing this. I I I’m not a big sports gambler in my own life, but I do think um the betting lines are meaningful because they are they are not quite predictions themselves, but they are a line set to draw the most betting action possible. That is more impactful for teams in larger markets, your LA teams, your Golden State Warriors, stuff like that. Um but like they try to get it about right. They try to get it about right. This is this is a predictive exercise even if it is not in and of itself a prediction. So let’s run through the West and see where they got everybody. At the top the Oklahoma City Thunder, your defending champs 62 and a half is the line for over for wins. That’s a big number. You win 60 games. They’re a good team. They won 68 last year as uh host of Locked on Thunder Ryland Styles called them to me once. They’re a 14 loss team. That’s that’s just not very many losses. That’s a that’s a crazy way to put it. during the regular season. A 14 loss team 62 and a half for OKC. Houston, uh, who added Kevin Durant in the offseason, 54 and a half. That’s the second highest of this of of your overunder lines. Denver third at 53 and a half. Minnesota four at 50 and a half. I think that is clearly the four best teams in the West. Not a quibble with who finishes where. Um, you know, depth is really important during the regular season. Denver doesn’t Denver improved their depth, but isn’t as deep as Houston or Oklahoma City. Uh, Minnesota is probably, you know, they’re banking on some of the some folks youngsters stepping in for Nikil Alexander Walker, but they may have they may be a little less deep. But one way or another, I think those are the four best team of the West. I have nothing to quibble with there. Five Oak uh excuse me five the Los Angeles Lakers 48 and a2 six the Los Angeles Clippers 47 and a half seven Golden State 46 and a2 eight San Antonio 43 and 1/2 kind of a big number for San Antonio considering how many games they won last year but just like they missed so many games with WBY De’arren Fox’s hand just was never right had to have had a surgery on his finger um he just never was right they’re probably better Um, I think that’s fair. I don’t even have a I don’t have a take about that. I think that’s fair. Dallas 40 and a half. I really do think Dallas is the most 41 and 41 team you can imagine. Uh, just with their level of variance. They’re going to win half their games. Memphis 40 and a half tied with Dallas for the ninth highest win total line. 11 is Sacramento 36 and a half and tied for 12. Phoenix and Portland both at 32 a.5. New Orleans 30 and a half. That’s a bad basketball team. Utah an absolutely outrageous overunderline of 17 a half. The Jazz decided to get rid of all of their good players except for Lowry Mark. Um they’re going to roll forward with like Ysef Nerk and Isaiah Collier and they’re going to lose a lot of basketball games. Um 17 1.5 in July is a wildly low number for the for Utah. I they have a top eight protected pick next year. Like it is important that they do lose. They do need to they do actually need to tank because like they need to hold on to that pick. Like it would be just detrimental to them to be to end up with the ninth pick. Um so they they do need to lose, but 17 and a half in July is is just brutal. Can you just like gearing up for a really just a long 65 loss season? Shout out to the 14 loss. Ryland Styles on the 14 loss. Oklahoma City Thunder. I mentioned the top four in the West. Oklahoma City, Houston, Denver, Minnesota. I think those are the top four in the West. Obviously, one of those teams won’t make it. That’s just how it works if you make predictions or guesses in July. But like to me, those are the four best teams in the West. Uh then there’s like a a pack of teams that are in the mix, right? Clippers, Lakers, Golden State. I think those teams are pretty good with a lot of variance due to age and in some cases due to lack of depth where it’s like, you know, if if LeBron misses some time, the Lakers are okay, but they’re not like a really good team, right? They’re because Luca is good, but they’re not like a really good team. if they’re missing LeBron James and he’s 40. The Clippers are just like outrageously old. They’re like actively they’re actively old. Um but like if assuming somewhat good health and I do think you have to bake in something like 25 miss games from Kawhi Leonard, but assuming like reasonable health and that Kawhai plays, you know, whatever that is, 57 games, uh 55 games, we’ll call it just for easy math. They’re good. That’s a good basketball team. Obviously, uh James Harden is like the only dude currently on the roster who can dribble the ball, which is a problem, but um they’ll they’ll be all right. They’re good. They’re good. They’re a really good defensive team and they’ve got some top- end talent to kind of take care of the offense and now all of a sudden they have John Collins and maybe he’ll help. Brook Lopez, he’s old. He’ll he’ll fit right in. I think those three teams are probably better than this next batch. San Antonio, Dallas, and Memphis. Memphis is like has potential to make a bigger jump and be a 45 48 win team. They have a potential to be kind of bad. I think 40.5 is a pretty reasonable number for for them. Dallas, just because the injuries, it’s like Kyrie Irving, when is he going to play? And when he does play, what does he look like? Um, if they were healthy, you would think they’re a better basketball team, but they’re not. San Antonio, as I mentioned, like yeah, they’ll get healthier. I think those I think it is the the the California teams, the older California teams, Clippers, Lakers, Golden State, I I I think they have this variance, right? But San Antonio, Dallas, Memphis, I think there is a world in which the Blazers hop over one, two, and three of those teams. Like, I think there’s a world, right? Um I wouldn’t count on it, right? And I’m not offering betting advice here. I’m merely reading you the over underlines. Um, I think there’s a world where those teams are just not not as good, right? Because of of of injuries and because of what because of of challenges. But like I think realistically, if you’re being if I I’m being honest, um, like San Antonio, Dallas, and Memphis when healthy, um, even like with that with accepting that Kyrie Irving doesn’t play a single minute this season, they all have all NBA level talent and the Blazers don’t have that yet. So, I think it’s hard to make the case that the Blazers are like for sure better than those teams, but I think there’s a world where they are. Sacramento, like they have more talent, but I don’t like that. I don’t like that roster. I think they’re kind of bad. I wouldn’t be I I wouldn’t be surprised if Blazers finish ahead of them. Phoenix, I don’t I don’t see it with them. The fact that the Blazers and Phoenix are both at 32 and a half, I think seems fair. I think these overunders are fair, but there’s this there are these the all of the the the California teams, Clippers, Lakers, Clippers, Golden State, um plus this the sort of like um the batch below them, San Antonio, Dallas, Memphis. I think it would be silly to say, oh, the Blazers are are just like outright better than all of those teams. But there is a world in which the California teams have trouble. The older California teams have some trouble and the San Antonio, Dallas, Memphis teams aren’t very good and the Blazers are just better than than Sacramento and Phoenix. Um I’m not predicting that they finish fifth. I that would be outrageous to me, but I do think um there is a world where that happens. I also, as mentioned, I think there’s a world where this number is fair. 32 and a half. I want to talk about that to close the show because I believe that there is um a plethora of outcomes in which the Blazers smash past 32 and a half and make this look like a foolish line. Let’s talk about what what it looks like if it’s foolish before we what it looks like if uh they don’t live up to this to this betting line. Join me in that second segment. We’ll talk about why the Blazers are going to way overachieve this number and why when we look back to 32 1/2 on July 8th, well it’s July 9th as you listen to this. Um we’ll think what doofuses. How could they underestimate the fighting pin wheels? Join me in that second segment and we’ll talk about the doofuses and the fighting pin wheels. All right. You will recall that last year the FanDuel overunder underline was 24 and a half for the Blazers and they won 36 games. Some would say they beat it by 50%. Some would say they smashed past it. They blazed past it even. It was a uh I thought at the time, and let’s let’s be honest, at the time, I thought 24 and a half was a reasonable line and I thought the Blazers would beat it. I didn’t think they beat it by much, but I thought like, yeah, they’re going to like they’re going to win 28 games. Like, sure, sure. Like, like I don’t think they’ll win 35 games. This was in the summertime, but um I think the like I think 24 is a little bit low for for what I think this team can be. I feel pretty similar about 32 and a half. I don’t think it’s outrageous. And I think relative to the other teams when you look at them stacked up, like the Blazers are better than New Orleans. They have better roster than New Orleans. They better roster than Utah. Those teams are bad. Sacramento is a is has a lot of a lot of situations where they’re just a a a doo team. Phoenix um was not good last year and got worse. Uh Memphis, Dallas, San Antonio, like those teams don’t strike a ton of fear. Although I think you could say like the top end talent on all of those rosters is better than the top end talent on the Blazers. And at some point it’s a top end talent type of thing. So like what this line says is that the Blazers are sort of outside of the playin. Obviously these are not all going to be perfectly 100% accurate. If they are, congrats to FanDuel. Good work. But what does it look like if the Blazers kind of repeat last season and they smash past this and they they are a 44 win team. I guess if they were to beat it by 50% they’d win 48 games. That seems like a lot. That’s like that would be a really surprising season. But let’s let’s call it like a they have a winning season. They win 42 games, right? That would be beating this by uh nine and a half. You know, like a the crushing the the overunderline. What does that look like? Well, it looks like some of the best the Blazers made with the moves this off seasonason pay off, right? Some of the reason you trade Afrey Simons because you’re betting on Scoot Henderson being able to take the next step. you saw some uh significant strides kind of up and down but but strides nonetheless certainly certainly uh made some progress with with Shane Sharp. You’re betting that that that consistency hits the outside shooting hits the sort of defensive focus and intensity takes a a step forward um and he gets to being like oh he’s just like a normal kind of bad defender and the the offense takes a big leap and he was such a good finisher at the rim last year and you think that carries over and all those things. It’s like Shaden Sharp is just like a really good offensive player and a competent enough defender. Scoot Henderson is a functional talented point guard. Tumani Kamar who was, you know, an alldefense guy last year is like one of the five best defenders in the NBA. And Denny Aia, who had the best season of his career last year and played was the Blazers best player, takes an additional step forward um as a shooter, as a playmaker when he’s tasked with more on ball on ball sort of opportunities and on ball responsibility, I think is probably the best way to say that. The shooting, the playmaking, he continues to be um a a useful cog and a really good defense. Donovan Klingan in year two builds on what he showed at the second half of year one where it’s like this dude is an elite rim protector. He can anchor an elite defense. The addition of Drew Holiday offers you this really good defensive guard who can play next to either Scoot and Shaden Sharp. And while those young players take massive step forwards, they’re also compleimemented by a valuable uh veteran behind them. Uh Jeremy Grant remembers how to make two-pointers and gets back up to shooting 40% from three. And this team is something like the fourth best defensive team in the league and the I don’t know 13th best offense. A surprisingly above average offense because Denny took a step forward and Tummani took a step forward and Shane Sharp took a step forward and Scoot Henderson took a step forward and all of those guys kind of the puzzle fits together. The offense makes sense. the defense turns out a ton of turnovers. So, they’re like they crush in transition and even if they are kind of maybe a below average half court offense, they’re they’re good enough and they get enough chances in transition that during any given regular season game, they can like smoke teams just because they’re really they’re a really good defensive team that can generate enough easy opportunities to fuel an offense that needs easy opportunities. That that’s something like it, right? And you need a little luck. I mean, I I think that is like kind of like an annoying fans hate that, right? Fans hate luck. And I I I get it, right? Because you want to be like, “No, it’s all merit-based. My my sweet sweet pin wheels were were expertly crafted and one of their own merits, but like you need to you need to be healthy, right? You need to be healthy. Um, and you kind of probably need some of like the oh yeah, you know, Memphis has some health stuff that comes up. Oh, Dallas just never got healthy. San Antonio, like it never worked. They’re just a little too young. Golden State, the Clippers, the Lakers, those teams are old. And the thing that happened to old teams is they just aren’t as um you know, like topheavy older teams. Like, oh yeah, James Harden missed 12 games and they went two and 10 or something, right? Like to that effect. uh like it’s it is is that type of thing where it’s like not only do some of these teams drop down, but the Blazers take advantage of those things and they have they’re the teams with sort of the they’re the team with the health luck and all those things. And you get you get the jump from the young guys. You get that you get that progression, right? Um and I haven’t even mentioned um and I should have quite frankly I apologize, but I haven’t even mentioned Hansen is is young Hansen just crushes, right? and he is he’s a really good rookie and like uh the shooting touch around the rim and the grab and go stuff off the glass and the passing kind of unlocks some of the Blazers half court stuff and he’s like really useful as a rookie and maybe he’s not this like elite elite player yet but he’s like a functional part of a of of a of a team that can play and then so all of a sudden you have like eight reliable players and without mentioning Matise Thible who’s helpful and disruptive and awesome on defense and and and Rob Williams is healthy enough games to be impactful because when has played, he has been good. He just hasn’t been able to play many games and many minutes. And that’s without mentioning like, you know, uh Chris Murray finding magically finding a jump shot and becoming a really impactful player because he does end up end end up like learning how to make jump shots and getting the sort of confidence that seems to have waned with him over the years. you you win in the regular season with top end talent and then depth to back up that top end talent because you’re just going to need like you need probably 10 to 12 kind of guys who can do a little bit like preferably 10 dudes who can help on any given night somewhat interchangeably. Not like 10 guys who could be your best player cuz it’s important to have a best player who’s really good to be really good. But like kind of like, hey, we’ll figure out, we’re going to play nineish guys, but we’ll figure out some combination through the 10 reliable players we have to get nineish guys that help on any given night. That’s why I say you kind of need like you’d be better off with like 11 or 12. Like it’s so you really can go deep into the bench. But like realistically like you get enough guys taking that jump forward and all of a sudden the Blazers are like a 40 a 42 43 44 win team. That’s what it looks like. The progression of everyone the puzzle pieces fitting together and some of that is just like mitigating some of their weaknesses, right? It’s like they don’t seem like a team that can shoot very well. But if Scoot Henderson, Shaden Sharp take massive steps forward all of a sudden, oh hey, look at that solved. Right? If if Jeremy Grant gets back up to shooting 40 plus percent from three, oh yeah, lineups with Jeremy Grant, there’s a there’s a plus shooter and there’s guys on the ball who can make plays on the ball. Like, okay, you start to the math starts to make a little more sense. What I want to do to close the show is talk about what it would look like on the other side. Um, like I said, I I would lean to the Blazers pretty like I would lean to the Blazers beating this 32 and a half, but there I think there are um a reasonable number of outcomes because of just like the nature of the roster where they don’t hit this number. Let’s talk about kind of what that might look like. Join me in the third segment, won’t you? Still a pass versus point guard. Still Mike Richmond. you are still listening to Locks on Blazers. I got an email from um the NBA channel manager Nick Angstad, host of Locked on on Mavs, who said like, “Hey, Fan FanDuel overunders are out. You’re going to see everybody on the on the network do this. This is what we do. It’s July.” Um and I was with some friends, Blazer fan friends, and uh um I said, “Hey, I haven’t opened this email yet. Do you want to guess what the line is?” And uh some these are some friends uh who who follow the team closely and one of them said like oh I don’t know like what they like if they won 36 last year I’ll say 38. So I said yeah that sounds about right. Yeah I’ll say you know I’ll say I’ll say 39. And I said okay I’ll I’ll put it at 33 and a half. And if you know me if you’re listening a long time listen to the program you know that I’m a hater. You know I’m a pessimist. You know I’m a hater. And um they didn’t look at me any sideways. They know who I am. These are people who know who know who know how I get down. They said that’s Mike being Mike. Open up the email. 32 and a half. I did I was too high, right? Um I I I think like I said in the in second segment, I would probably lean towards the Blazers 32 and a half seems a little low. Seems a little low, but I think realistically if if you’re thinking about this team, there’s a world where they don’t hit this number. Some of that is health because while the Blazers have like interesting pieces, I think it is a significant overstatement to call this team deep. They got some parts. Uh it gets a little flat in the back half of the rotation such that you think like, yeah, Chris Murray’s not that much worse than Matise Thyel, but that’s not depth. That’s like some that’s some options, right? There’s some options. This is a different thing. I think there’s a world where what it would look like if they don’t hit the under or if they if they don’t hit the the over on this and they they get they hit the under is like just timely injury stuff. Um you know the center position is a little bit dicey for the Blazers, but I think Donovan Cllingan held down the second half of the last season. But like if he misses time and it’s like um and and like assuming that you’re not going to get 30 minutes of Rob Williams every night. Um and even if he is healthy, you’re getting like 20, you know, 22ish 20 26 maybe. Um even less. Like realistically, he just just didn’t play that much last year. And you can’t imagine that coming off an Easter he’s going to play more. That seems unlikely. So, it’s just like is is a Hansen doo-op wreath center core going to like take you to the promised land that that like that that is that gets a little dicey, right? There’s a world where Hansen like it takes off and like but that’s the other side of that’s the that’s the second segment world. The this side of the world is a sort of a colder, harsher reality where it’s like he’s a 20-year-old rookie and those players usually aren’t good in the league. It doesn’t mean they won’t be good in the league, but it just means like if you’re counting on a player being like in December when you’re a 20-year-old getting acclimated to the league and you’re playing game 22 of your rookie season, it’s like, yeah, you’re probably going to stink, right? You’re probably going to struggle. Even if you don’t stink, you’re probably going to have some struggle, right? You’re probably going to be like, there’s going to be more positive flashes, but a lot of negative impacts, right? Like that’s just the reality of it. And Duopre is like is like a depth center, right? He’s not um he’s not someone that you want to rely on for a big minute. Like I like to oper mentioned on the podcast before like I’ll root for him. But I think when he did play during his rookie season when he did play a bunch of minutes by the end of that stretch of playing a bunch of minutes, he kind of got exposed like yeah, okay, this dude’s a backup, this dude’s a third center. Like you just like, you know, you get overexpanded in a role and then you kind of the it gets it gets harder, right? So I do think the center position is a little dicey. Um, if they were to have any extended stretch without Tumani Kamar or Denny Avia, the team is a lot worse. Particularly Denny Avdia. He is the engine of this thing. Like I said, there’s a world in which Scoo Henderson takes off and Shaden Sharp takes off and those two young young men um make this team really good, right? And that’s kind of what they’re banking on. Um, Andrew Holidayiday is going to be helpful to some extent, assuming that he has not totally deteriorated. um he came he had bad pretty bad year last year with with uh with Boston, but also they when he played they won a bunch of games because they’re a really good team. Um and he he’s not that far removed from being a good player, but there’s a world in which at age 35 it’s just like you know uh typically uh age comes quickly and cruy. So we shall see. But like um without without Denny and assuming kind of like not massive jumps from the two youngsters and not a huge bounce back to the Drew of yester year for Drew Holiday without Denny like he’s just the engine. He was their best player last year and they they need him to be better because they lost their best shot creator in Anthony Simons. They lost their best offensive center and maybe just their straightup most talented center in DeAndre Aiden. Although I do think uh Klingan has a pretty clear path to be more positively impactful because of of of his level of defense, but make no mistake, he is about a cajillion miles away from DeAndre on the offensive end. It’s just a different calculation. I personally just value um I value for for sevenfooters, give me give me rim protectors um over scores, I think. Uh unless you’re an elite scorer, give me rim protectors over scores always. Um, I think the world in which they hit the under is like the young guys don’t make the jump. Denny misses a little bit of time or Denny doesn’t make this massive leap. Um, and the Blazers are without their best creator, shot creator, like just particularly jump shot creator last year with Afrey Simons, without their best offensive center, maybe just straight up their best center overall with with DeAndre Aiden. Um, and they’re just like they’re light on shooting. They were already one of the worst shooting teams in the league last year and they probably are a worst shooting team heading into this year. And that wart shows up and instead of being something like the fourth best defense and the, you know, whatever I said 13th best offense, they’re something like a top 11, 12, 13, 15, like they’re an average defense, right? They’re a good defensive team, but not an awesome one, right? It’s like, okay, yeah, they’re 12th on defense. Spent a little bit of time in ninth, spent a little, you know, and like they they settle into being like somewhere in that 11 range. like good a good defensive team but not an awesome awesome awesome one and the offense is even worse. They were 20th last year. They’re 24th this year. That’s where that’s where it would happen where it’s like the defense can’t maintain its level. The offense is a little bit worse because the personnel got a little bit worse and they go like young players don’t take a step forward to make up for that loss of personnel and now all of a sudden you’re just like you you win 30 games because of you’re going again as I mentioned the luck in the f in the second segment. It’s luckier too. It’s it’s your bad injury luck, right? the places were relatively healthy last season and it’s just like yeah, you you you miss guys at the wrong time. You know, I don’t know, a bad ankle sprain for Denny and he misses eight games. Okay, now all of a sudden you go one and seven and now you’re you’re climbing out of a hole and now you’re now you’re, you know, sort of losing some momentum and having the best contacts uh for things like it. Uh, right now they’re pretty light at they’re going to add another player before this really gets going, but they’re relatively light at like guard and like the sort of dudes who dribble type of position. Like if Drew Holidayiday misses a chunk of time there it’s just like how many guys do you have that can handle and make plays and all those things like um there there is a world where this doesn’t where this goes a little bit south. But I I’ll leave here on a positive note. I feel much more more I feel I well I wouldn’t say that I think this team is likely to be a 40 plus win team. I do think they when they won 36 games a year ago. I kind of underestimated their talent and their willingness to win and I do not think that will change this year and I think that’s an important part of this overunder stuff. I don’t think the Blazers will do like I think as indicated by last year I think it would be pretty stunning if the Blazers did like tank shenanigans. I think if they lose, they’ll lose on the back of how talented their roster is. They did that for most of the season last year. Then they got going. If they are a bad team, if they’re a 50 loss team, as this overunder suggests, um it’ll be because of the talent on the roster. It won’t be because of shenanigans. And if you are committed to winning down the stretch of NBA games, you can push towards 35 plus wins because there’s going to be teams that are truly deep in the shenanigans. See those Utah Jazz 17 and a half wins. And one of these teams above the Blazers is going to have a miserable season and they’re going to lean into the skid and lean into tanking at some point as well. So why I would I I lean towards the over I I I think this number is a little bit low is not only because I think the Blazers are probably like they won 36 games last year. I don’t think that they’re meaningfully better, but I do think they have a path to being meaningfully better. Like I like they um it’s not you don’t need to squint too much. is going a small amount to see them being better than they were last season. They won 36 games. Um, and I I I think they can kind of repeat that and I think they’ll be committed to winning to game, you know, 79 of the regular season. And if you do those two things, right, if you are committed to winning and you aren’t materially like you’re not significantly worse than you were a year ago when you were a 36 win team, I think it’s fairly easy to beat this. The question is how high if they are committed to winning and if it does start to click, how high can they go? And I think that’s when you sort of start to look up and you start to see those teams that in the messy middle of the West where you’re like, how good is San Antonio? How good do we really think they are? How good is Golden State if Steph Curry misses time? How good is like how good is Golden State if Jimmy Butler misses time? Right? Like how good are the Lakers if if if LeBron is out? How good how good are the Clippers going to be? Even the teams that are better than the Blazers in terms of talent are there’s a muddy middle in the West. It’s a little muddy. And I think um I think this 32 and a half is a little bit low. Uh and I think it’s a little bit low because I think they are a team that is going to give you is going to bring it. And I think that’s one of going to be the most enjoyable part of this season is that you’re not going to get cheap stuff from the Blazers. you get a team that brings it um and might be a very good defensive team if uh if everything clicks right. That is going to do it for today’s program. Uh join me in tomorrow’s show. Uh that’s what we do 5 days a week wherever you get podcasts also on YouTube. I appreciate you listening. I’ll talk to you soon.
32.5 seems a little low
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#TrailBlazers #NBA
28 Comments
I'll take the over
They don't know…50 wins. Count it. Toumani and Deni go to the ASG and Scoot breaks out as one of the premiere PGs in the league. Jrue Holiday traded at mid-season for assets.
There is probably only one defensive lineup (OKC) across the entire NBA that is better than:
Jrue
Matisse
Deni
Camara
Clingan
That’s 🔥🔥🔥
I want to see those five on the floor in end of game situations.
If you were in that arena last season, you know that we're coming…you know how different it felt…
What is keeping the Blazers from bringing back Delano Banton? The guy can play 1-3 or the 4 in small ball. I think he is way better than Murray or Rupert. Injuries happen and he’s a solid insurance policy.
I’m not a better, so a serious question: Do you suppose the number 32.5 wins is where the most knowledgeable NBA experts think that there’s a fifty percent chance of that the Blazers will be higher (or lower) than that number?? Or is 32.5 the number that maximizes profit for betting odds?
My uneducated hunch is that many people who bet do so out of pure emotion – I say that because if I were to bet I could never bring myself to bet the under on the Blazers. If that is true then wouldn’t we expect teams with a lot of fans (like the Lakers and Knicks) to have numbers that were too high and teams that have fewer fans (like the Jazz and Blazers) to have numbers that were too low?
Yang Hansen allstar starter!
These win totals have less to do w players and coaches, and more about organizational strategies
That's alot of worlds Mike!
These clowns have no idea how good we going to be with Deni Avdija leading our offence
So #1 pick in the draft next year?
40-42 is my prediction. I just don't see us with a winning record, we're relying on way too many unknowns to break our way. 32.5 feels a little disrespectful.
Blazers will struggle to score so yeah can that or worse if injuries hit
Jokic to the Lakers
I feel like we're gettin 40+ wins this year. Time to surprise some people.
36wins feels realistic
That low number has to be factoring in the possibility that new ownership goes full Ishbia on us.
40 wins
odds makers were being generous. veteran ant simons is gone, veteran ayton is gone. we got all kids. jru will guaranteed do the new nba standards and be on the injured list all year. we got nothing. yeah denny is good, but not 32.5 wins on his back.
Last season the Blazers got red hot and busted the over. Can they do it again this season ? Or will the Cronin asterisk* show up ??
* starters rest with fake injuries, while Portland "develops" 3rd string.
remember Blazer fans, there's good rookies in the lottery next summer
Yang Hansens popularity probably brought us up a couple wins too
I admire the Blazer fans who think we’re not a bottom 15 team in the league.
I am not one of them.
38 wins is my prediction. Vegas is low imo but close.
Gonna win and lose a lot of games 54-50
I'm going to say that the the Blazers will go 43-39 , they could win more though possibly. I'm just throwing 43 as a minimum. I hope I'm wrong and they win at least 50. I definitely think that The Thunder, Rockets, Nuggets, Timberwolves, Lakers, Clippers, Warriors, and then at 8 I think the Blazers could end up there, maybe even possibly above the Warriors . I think the Spurs will go 42-40 . 1) OKC 2) HOU 3) DEN 4) MIN 5) LAL 6) LAC, 7) GSW, 8) POR 9) SAS 10) DAL 11) MEM 12) NOP 13) SAC 14) PHX 15) UTA I could be wrong about all of this. I will say though the WEST is definitely going to be better than the EAST. The EAST is going to be nuts
39 wins, 8-9th place, 8th defence, 17th offense
San Antonio 4-7th clippers probably pretty much the same; Denver and/or Minnesota could be way lower than what fanduel gave them (5-8 one or both of them)
Blazers roster as of today wins between 28-33 games
We are winning 45 games at least this season