The Mavericks Are UNDERRATED in NBA Win Total Over/Unders | Anthony Davis Disrespect
On today’s show, the Mavericks overunder is 40 and a half wins. Will they be an above 500 team? Yes. I’ll tell you why. Today’s lockdown. Stop it. Stop. The number one pick will go to the Dallas Mavericks. Cooper flag will fly in Dallas. All of us. You are Locked on M. Your daily Mavericks podcast. Part of the Locked on Podcast Network. Still can’t leave. your team every day. I’m going to in the city like back and welcome. You’re locked on to the Dallas Mavericks. Your team every day. My name is Nick Angstead, medium member covering the Dallas Mavericks for 10 years. Thanks for meeting every day or making lock time apps your first listen. Today’s episode is brought to you by Game Time. Download the game time app creating account. Use the code lockdown NBA for $20 off your first purchase. Joining me as always, my co-host media member covers for 10 years right alongside me, the fantasy draft dude. Do one more thing. What you got for me, Isaac Harris? Yeah, I’m just excited for some Mavs. more mav summer league ball um on Friday. Um just really excited for some, you know, ver action. Max Lewis um kind of off the left wing a little bit, but just counting down for that. Ready to grind some tape and uh honestly though, I am I we need a we all need a medical update from somebody. Hey, joining me as the postgame prodigy from the great slightly bias YouTube channel. Held up. How’s the ankle feeling? slightly biased. A week from today, I’ll be getting my cast off. We’ll be We’ll be well on our way. Well, that’s the plan. At least we’ll be well on our way. That’s It’s funny Isaac was saying that because uh Nick text me a few days ago. I was like, “Hey, want to do a postgame show with me uh for the summer league game?” And I was like, “I’m not watching that game, buddy. Just letting you know.” And then I talked about it for five minutes on the show the other day. I was like, “Just let you know, buddy. I will not be watching that.” Like there are levels to which I I will still do things like I’ll do post games with you every day. I I always get like I always talk myself into summer league and then he gets here and I’m always just like I think sit flag you’re like okay what’s even the point of this? Yeah. Is it worse than college basketball like during the season? For sure. Yeah. Yeah. I’d rather watch a college basketball game. Me too. Yeah. Today’s episode, we’re going to do a fantasy draft of the overunders win totals from FanDuel. We’re going to take the teams are most confident they’ll hit their over. So, today is all about the overs. We’ll do another episode where we talk all about the unders, which teams we think are basically overrated. This one is who is underrated. I have designed this fantasy fantasy draft so that I can go first because I think rigged. It is. It’s totally rigged. Just like the lottery rigged. That’s right. because I’m going to come in here confidently and at 40 and a half take our Dallas Mavericks with the first pick. I think the Mavs will hit. You’re just doing this for the content. They’re over. Who What’s my What’s my job, Isaac? I know. It’s my job around here. Wait, it’s kind of sad that Nick had to rig it to get him first cuz he he wasn’t confident that either of us were going to He’s like, “Listen, for the content, you got to do your cold open the main subject first. So, I got to go first.” That’s correct, Isaac Harris. Great, great, great like observation skills. The Mavs at 40 and a half. They won 39 games last year. Do you know how many games Luca Duch played for the Mavs last year? Give it to me. 22 games. Dang. I don’t know about you, but I’m feeling 22 is not enough for me to feel like that like Luca had a big part in that 39 wins last year. Anthony Davis only played nine games for the Mavs last year. So like only 31 out of the 82 games had a Luca Donic or an Anthony Davis. Kyrie played 50. PJ Washington played 57. Gaffford played 57. Lively didn’t play that many either. And Cooper Flag didn’t play any for the Mavs. Cooper Flag played zero games for the Mavs last year. I think that this team is deeper. I think that you have uh some more things to to lean on. I think that this team will hit they’ll be above 500 team and that’s all you need to do. I just need to hit 41 42 wins. I think they’ll hit that. I’m confident in that one. I’m with you. Yeah. I mean, I had him as an over, too. Um, some there’s some teams above them in some of the odds and stuff for next year that kind of surprises me some. I get it. Everybody kind of like, hey, Kyrie’s injury and stuff. Um, I don’t know. I call me slightly biased a little bit. Hey, but I just I I to your point I like their depth and you know I’m a little bit I wouldn’t say like all in but like a little bit higher on the DLO signing than than a lot of people and I don’t know I I just think he went to Louis cuz he’s from Louisville. Sure. I think C I think Cooper’s going to be like good. Not like allstar good, but I think he’s going to be like pretty good from the start. Yeah, there there’s definitely been years where I feel like the Mavs were really disrespected for some reason in their overunders, but this one feels about right to me because uh I mean I think they’ll go over too, but I I wouldn’t feel good enough to bet on it just because they are like an 80 two-month injury away from I think going under. And you know that’s just the reality. It’s going to be a really difficult conference, but they’re deep and if they’re healthy they’re going to be really good. I mean that that’s not a that’s not even a question for me. just health and when it comes like gambling, you know, I don’t I don’t really give gambling advice because I’m not, you know, uh I don’t feel good enough about it to do it. But um I their injury risk is too high in my opinion to be like gung-ho. Yeah, they’re a lock over. Yeah. I mean I I just for me it’s like it’s you know what 40 and a half. So I think they’re like u 40 like four 45 wins maybe. Like I I don’t think it’s like a 51 win, you know, team. There were only five teams in the West last year that hit 50 wins. So I don’t think it’s that that’s the case. Yeah. I also just think AD is that good. So even if he does miss like 20 games, the games that the Mavs are going to get out of him are going to be better than the ones we saw last year for sure. I mean, we did an episode right after the Mavs traded for Anthony Davis specifically that that we do we think he’s still a top 10 player in the league. You start going through it and you’re like, “Yeah, it’s hard to kind of convince me that he’s not top 10, top 12 player in the league.” that those types of players can lead you to above 500 no matter what’s kind of around them. And the team is just deep too. Like I mean no no Denwitty gives you two is plus two wins right there. And if they get LeBron on a minimum then like then what are you talking about? Yeah, true. That hasn’t even hit yet. So you’re getting you’re getting in on this overunder before that news drops. I have friends in my life that that have messaged me and said I cannot listen to Isaac talk about LeBron. and to yes, there’s more people against my take on that than uh than for me, but there are surprisingly a decent amount of people like, “Hey, I’m with you.” So, there were a lot. All right, second pick in the overs draft. Team Isaac. Uh, give me another team in Texas. I’m going to take the Spurs. 40 43 and a half. Um, it’s for me like the writings on the wall for like a maybe not the where Houston finished last year is like a what the second seed or something like that. I don’t think it’s like that but you’ve seen like a team with like a young a young like squad, young roster, young hungry roster. That’s the type of teams that can win a lot of games in the regular season. And yeah, the addition of Harper, uh, even you know, some of the front core stuff and Cornet and Olen. Um, I just, yeah, I think they have a a deep enough team. The young guys would take another step. Obviously, Wimi, a lot of it hinges on Wimby, but 43 and a half is a little low for me. I think they’re Yeah, if I could make locks, I would take them at like 46 47 wins. Yeah, they were they were on my short list. I probably would have taken them. I mean, they like you said, the writing does feel on the wall a little bit. I do think there’s a world where their their fits are a little bit weirder, you know. How many did we what did we even see Fox play a game with Wimi or was he shut down by then? Uh I think he was shut down. Yeah. So like you know there’s this weird kind of Fox’s three-point shooting has looked a little bit rough recently and Wimy’s still kind of getting there although I think he spaces a forward his size and Harper’s shot is kind of a question mark and uh Castle shot like there’s definitely a world where and Sohan like there’s a world where that offensive fits a little bit wonky but I I think they’re I think they’re going to have a good year and they’re I think they’ll be a playing team almost certainly. Yeah, from what I saw in summer league from Harper, I mean, he’s just going to be athletically like he’s good like like the Thompson twins, like he’s just going to be awesome out there and doing and doing stuff. And then throw out Carter Bryant for some defensive stops, too. Like, they just have guys that can throw in different situations. And I think they became way more malleable and way more like they can they can answer more situations and more other kinds of lineups this year than they could have last year. And I think that’s that’s and I get it’s a big leap, right? I mean, they won 34 games last year. So, to to jump above, you know, what 44 um that’s a plus 10, you know, win difference there. But I think they have the combination of young guys and I love when teams that have a like a young core and that I mean their core is bigger than like two young guys. I love when they take those guys and add veterans around them when you have a Harrison Barnes and a Len and Cornet. Uh even Darren Fox and Darren Fox like wanted to go there. So, I think he’s going to have a little bit more motivation, too, to have a really good year. So, I’m kind of all in on Spurs being pretty good this year. Yeah, we’ve we’ve taken the Mavs and the Spurs so far in our draft. Coming up, slightly makes his first selection. Who he thinks is a guaranteed go take it to FanDuel. Take it to the bank over. Slightly makes his pick. We’ll do that. I wouldn’t say that more coming up. [Music] Today’s episode of Locked on Maps brought to you by Game Time. We’ve all been there. Logging on early, waiting forever for concert tickets to go on sale only to lose your spot. That happened to me when I was trying to get era tickets for Taylor Swift. I sat in that that dumb waiting room for so long. But with Game Time, you don’t have to worry about that. You see the ticket and if the ticket is there, it’s yours. You can have it. Go get it. In DFW, there’s all kinds of great stuff all the time happening. We got tickets for Fever against the Wings at the American Airlines Center again, beginning of August. $66 for tickets right now. That is going to go up. that is going to go up. So, go and get your tickets now for that. All kinds of great concerts, comedy, theater, great stuff like that happening all the time. 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And uh maybe we’ll send you a picture of Slightly’s ankle without the cast. Maybe that’s maybe we’ll throw that. You probably won’t want that for a bit. part of it. We’re doing a fantasy fantasy draft of picking overs. Teams with the, you know, with the FanDuel your win totals, they pick like a number. So the Mavs is 40 and a half. They say, “All right, if you’re going to pick the over, then you think the Mavs are going to win 41, 42, 43 or more games. If you think they’re going to do the under, then they’re going to win 40, 39, 38 games.” And so we’re going through, we’ve done, we’ve done our first two picks in the draft. I picked the Mavericks to go over. Isaac picked the Spurs to go over slightly. Who’s your first team going over? So, I have backto-back picks because the snake snaking back to back. All right, I’m getting out of the West just because they’re smart. Smart. I don’t That one’s the That conference is so hard. And I’m going Washington. Yeah, the W. No, I’m going to take the Orlando Magic. Orlando Magic. We’re going over 50 wins for them, which is kind of, you know, that’s they won 41 last year, so that’d be a 10- win increase. But with, you know, Paulo missing as much time as he did, Fran’s missing as much time as he did, Suggs missing as much time as he did. I think what those three played like nine games or something together uh last year, I mean, they played 40 games together. Oh, they did? Yeah. Oh, okay. Get out of here, man. Really? Those three did? I believe you. Oh, the two of them, Pal and Fron, played 40. You’re right. You’re right. Yeah. Yeah. So, um I mean I I could be completely wrong, though. But those three, you know, you never know cuz Suggs is kind of one of those guys. But, uh, at least Fran and Paulo, you expect to be healthier in play over the course of the season more. And then they to go out and get Bane. I feel like that’s just one of the more forgotten about offseason editions is we’ve sort of, you know, entered the dog days of summer here is like that is a huge huge addition for this team. That’s like you said, a perfect fit. I mean, it’s exactly what they needed. and they’ve already shown us these glimpses of being a team that obviously is great defensively, but you know, Paulo has shown us some flashes here and there. Fronz has shown us some flashes. These are young guys that are getting better and Bane is just going to open up the floor for them so much. And if they’re healthy in that conference, you know, I think they could easily get 51 wins and be a three seed. So, if the if the Magic would go over 50 wins, so last year there were four teams in the East that were 50 wins or higher. So, do we all agree that Orlando will be a top four team, homec court advantage team in the East next year? Absolutely. I think it’d be disappointing if they weren’t. Yeah, I’m with you. I love this Magic team. And I got beef with Nick over the Magic because Nick, you took a shot at their new rebrand and I think it’s awesome. You didn’t like it? It looked like Upward Basketball to me. Oh, come on. I love it. I think it’s awesome. All the rebrands lately. Just do the circle logo thing again. Yo, get out of here. No, they have the star. No, it’s a No, it’s a circle logo with the little stars. Like, everybody’s doing the circle logo. Well, yeah. I mean, that’s just a given. It’s going to be a circle logo. I don’t know why. I I don’t I really don’t get why, but the jersey though. Corporate blah. That’s not on the jerseys. It’s not on the jerseys. Jerseys look good. I like all of it, man. I mean, the pinstripes are awesome. Pinstripes are always good. I I do like those. Let me guess, Nick, you like the uh cup courts, too. Give me the red one all day. Give me just the crimson red. I’m on Mustafar. Like, come on, man. All right. My next pick is also in the East. This one This one might be a little surprising, but I’ve I’ve sort of dug in on this stance slightly. And I’m going with the Bucks. Whoa. Yeah. 44 and A2. Over. Yeah, cuz I I just think 44 Look, I I I’m not saying they’re going to win 50. I think they can win 45 games. I just think 44 is low. Like the Pistons were the six seed last year, 44 wins and who’s their guards? I had the Bucks list on the my short list for under. Really? I mean, okay. So, I guess they’re one Giannis injury away like more so than the Mavs. They’re one Giannis injury away from Absolutely. But I I would I’ll give Giannis a benefit of the doubt. I mean, Giannis is actually if I had to pick a MVP right now, I’d pick Giannis. Oh, that would be that would be my not going to be good enough. It’s going to be Luca Luka two years ago again. Giannis. Giannis has been so unbelievable these last few seasons and you know I’m looking at his his game logs and it’s not like he’s you know I I I’ll put I’ll I’ll have faith in his injury stuff, but I I put them there just because I I think this conference is going to be abysmal and I’m looking at it and somebody has to win 44 games and be a six seed. And I don’t know why that couldn’t be the Bucks just because, you know, Brook Lopez, they lose him. I mean, I watched him play last year. He’s moving in with some inch shoes on. like he’s so slow at this point. That’s turn is a big upgrade there, right? And he fits the mold of what you need to have next to Yiannis. But if they just get enough out of KPJ or you know for the for his sentence for the point guard. Giannis is their point guard. For the sake of arguing, for the sake of arguing, I just can’t believe I can’t have enough faith in a Kevin Porter Jr. Cole Anthony backcourt. Oh, I forgot they got Cole Anthony. Oh, that makes me feel even better. Now he’s even more excited. Yeah, now I’m really locked in. It’s like But it’s like a It’s a like a a league that is so he like guards are so important. I just look at their guard rotation and I’m like that is just gross. What happens when Jiannis sits? I mean like I liked Dame last year and Dame’s Dame’s production and and volume stats were good. You watched them play and I I didn’t feel like those two were always just weird together. I don’t know what it is. It should have worked perfectly, but it just and and Dame’s my DVT brother, so I love and respect him, but um it just didn’t really work out between those two for some reason. So DVT guys got an album coming out soon. Did you say DVD? DVT. Deep Vein Thrombosis. My DVT brothers, me and Wim, too. I think you said DVD. So when we brought up Cole Anthony, you got more excited about your over. Yeah, I did. I actually forgot about that. Did you forget about Kyle Kosma? How does that make you feel less feel about? You know, if it were 48, I wouldn’t have done it. But 44, yeah, trade cooser at the deadline for a guard. See, that’s what I want. I want them to trade for Kobe White so bad. No one on the Mavs. I know. But if they got if they like could somehow flip Koozma and like a draft pick or something for for Kobe White, I would love that for them. But Paul, fascinating Chris Paul. Hey, go to Milwaukee, bro. I mean, he’d start. He wants to be closer to LA. You might as well go to Milwaukee. Yeah, true. They call Milwaukee the LA of the Northwest. All right, my turn. Yeah, you got You’re up. I’m going to do it to you, Nick. I’m going to take your team. Give me the Atlanta Hawks. I probably should have took them over the book. This is I mean, this is going to be all the nerds picks for just all the trendy East stuff next year, but they won 40 games last year. Uh their overunder this year is 47 and a half. It’s not even as much about KP. I mean, they got KP obviously, but it’s just like you just start looking up and down that roster. They got Nikil Alexander Walker, obviously Porzingis, um a lot of their young guys. I mean, Dyson Daniels, um Jaylen Johnson will be back. I mean, they got a they got a core of like young wings that I think will get even better next year. I actually think Trey like has defense around him to where he could like maximize him. Like this is the this is the year for Trey Young. Like this is the year that you show you can be a an orchestrator of a point guard and also get some buckets but keep everybody involved. And I think it I don’t know and I’m a big Quinn Snyder fan too. I they’re right up there with me as as far as like the short list of teams that I would put over 47 and a half. Interesting. They were Yeah, I I was I was thinking about taking them instead of the Bucks, but yeah, I think they’re going to be good. But the only thing about the Hawks is I’ve I’ve had this stance on them for a while and they’ve burned me a lot. So, yeah, I like Jaylen Johnson a lot. So, I’m I do too, but he’s he needs to be on the court. He does. Yes. Yeah, that one’s gonna That one’s going to be interesting with the You don’t like this one? I do like this one. I They They’re making fun of me because I had it as an example on on the list when I pulled it up and they thought I was going to take them. I was just the first team alphabetically that I copied and paper stole him from you into the box. I do like Atlanta a lot. I like what they did. Their defense is going to be better if Porzingis plays a decent amount of games. I mean that’ll be really really good. Jaylen Johnson played like 36 games last year. So I mean you get him back. That’s huge for them. And Quinn Snder, I mean I believe in him as a coach for sure. So I’m curious to see when he’s got like actual players on his roster what he’s going to do. Kobe Buffin look good in summer league. He did. That’s my That’s my guy. You’re a big Kobe guy. I was a huge Kobe Buffing guy. Was he Is he a DVT guy? No, I don’t know if he I hope not. I hope not. Coming up. Coming up, I get my next pick and I’m conflicted. I’m conflicted in this pick. Take the Lakers. I don’t want to pick it, but I’m going out East again. I’m going to tell you who’s going to hit their over. Coming up. [Music] Today’s episode of Lock the Apps brought to you by Open Phone. Open Phone is there. When you’re running a small business, you got too many things to worry about and you can’t miss any customers. You can’t miss anybody that comes by and is interested in your business at all. That’s where Open Phone will help you because the last time you called the business and they didn’t answer, what’d you do? You probably went to the next one. Go check it out. Open Phone is the number one business phone system built to streamline and scale your customer communications all from an app on your phone or your computer. They have all kinds of different management tools. There’s one that lets it’s like a shared inbox where other people from your team can jump in and seamlessly cons continue a conversation even if you don’t have time for it. They also have AI agents that can handle after hours calls, answer common questions, capture leads so you never miss a customer with Open Phone. Open Phone is offering our listeners 20% off your first six months at openphone.com/lockdonba. That’s op.com/lockdonba. And if you have any existing numbers with another service right now, Open Phone will port them over at no extra charge. Pretty great deal right there. Open Phone, no missed calls, no missed customers. Shut it down. Let’s go home. [Music] All right, Isaac. All right, slightly. We’re fantasy drafting the overs for the overunder win totals from FanDuel. And you guys have made some picks. So far, I have picked the Dallas Mavericks. Isaac has picked the Spurs and the Hawks. Dang. We got to speed this up. Slightly has picked the magic in the buck. I just said we’d go as long as we go. Oh, I’m gonna pick. Oh, I get two. Right. I get two right here. Drum roll. I get two right here. I’m going to go with This hurts me so much to do this. I’m going with the Boston Celtics. Oh, how how do you know what they’re going to do? Their overunder is 43 and a half. Oh, they’re on my short list for under. Short short list. 43 and that’s a 17 and a half win drop. Okay, let’s go through this roster. Such a big Let’s go through the roster. Yeah, let’s do it. I still have Jaylen Brown, Derek White. I get Anthony Simons. Still got Peyton Pritchard. Like, I’m I’m doing okay. Hugo, is he starting? Sam Hower. Sure. Who is Luka Garza? Is he the starting big man? It’s just such a low drop to me. 61 to 43. If they had one serviceable center, I would feel if they kept like Cornet or something, I’d be like, “Yeah, all right. Maybe.” I mean, literally right now on their roster, it’s Tillman or Garza. That I mean, Sam Hower and and Nang is like their I mean, that’s like their what fifth and sixth guy. Just hurt me to do this. I get where you’re coming from, though, cuz you look at the East and it’s like some team has to win games. It’s like there’s got to be some 44 45 win teams. It does go against my my if Giannis gets hurt then they’re screwed thing because if Jaylen Brown misses any any amount of time then they are they’re very screwed as a team. I can’t wait for you to root for them to win games next year. I might say my under cuz I’m almost certain I’m taking them. Okay, that’s awesome. This is the one I feel more confident about. I’m picking the Cleveland Cavaliers. Dang you. That’s what I was calling for next. 56 and a half a seven and a half win decrease. They won 64 last year. Garland is out with his toe surgery. They said four to five months a month ago. So that’s October, November. And he’s supposed to reportedly he’s supposed to start basketball activities at the start of October. So he’s going to be there for most of the season. This is what they lost and gained in the offseason. They lost Ty Jerome and Isaac Aoro. Okay. They add Larry Nance and Lonzo Ball. Okay. And they also only had 27 games of DeAndre Hunter last year. And so, yeah, I’m picking the Cavs. I think this is a really good pick. Honestly, I think they could win 60 games again. That’s what you you blow you blow a pick and then you Well, but also like they traded for DeAndre Hunter mid-season, so now they’re starting a season with him. He’s more comfortable there. Um I think Evan Mobley takes hopefully a step forward also. Um Lonzo, they swap him out, you know, with um drawing a blank. You said his name all day. Ty Drum. Ty Drum. Yeah. Uh yeah, I just like their team a lot and they’re in the East and I was just like I was honestly kind of dumbfounded. I’m like why why are they have like an eight- win decrease? 60 is hard. Like getting up to 64. Like not many teams do it. And I get it. But yeah, I I get I get it, too. But all right, I’m going to surprise y’all on this one more than the Celtics. I think I think it it is surprising because I’m going towards the bottom here. Um, I’m going to take the Phoenix Suns as an over. Interesting. As an over. All right, let me make my case for a second. So, they have their overunder at 31 and a half. Yeah. So, so last year the Spurs were the like last year the Spurs were the third worst record at 34 wins. Okay. So, they’re projecting the the Suns to be one of the three worst teams in the West. They don’t own their first round draft pick next year. It’s unprotected going out. All right. I think there’s going to be an added motivation for this team, especially for a Devin Booker. I like Jordan Kn as a new young coach. They like all they’re hearing right now is how how dysfunctional they are. Kevin Durant leaves and all this stuff, but you know what? Like Jaylen Green might suck in the playoffs, but man, he’s like a regular season guy. Like you give him like he’s going to I think put up points with Booker. I like the Dylan Brooks fit with them. I think they can fit enough together. I don’t think that they’re like making the playoffs or anything like that, but 31 and a half is way too low for me with the players they have and the fact that they don’t have their draft pick next year. So, count me in. I think it’s an over. They are they are deeper this year. You look at their center spot and last year it was like at the beginning of the year it was Nerkich and then nothing else and you’re like oof tough. Now it’s Mark Williams. Come on Mwatch. Nick Richards. also too, you know, he could play some center. Uh, yeah, they got guys. So, yeah, logic. I don’t know who really who their point guard is. Booker, I am a big Kobe Bray fan uh off the bench, but it it’s more about, hey, they can throw out some lineups with Devin Booker, Jaylen Green, Dylan Brooks, Mark Williams, Ryan Dunn. Like, I just I don’t think that’s a 31 win team. So, yeah, there you go. the the West is just hard. I mean, I could see it’s, you know, December and there’s an article it’s like, “How are the Suns so much better?” And it comes out like, “Well, they actually hated Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal.” Like, that could be Brad Bill’s post. Peace out. Yeah, that was funny. Jeez. All right, I’m going I got my final two picks here. I’m going bottom of the board, literally. Let’s go. I’m taking the Wizards. Wow. Yeah. 20 and a half. That’s a good one. Yeah, I I’ve taken the Wizards just because I look at their roster and I don’t think these guys will finish the season with the team, but I see some Brooklyn Nets parallels kind of from last year where they’ve got, you know, their team is just stacked with these vets, weirdly enough. CJ Middleton smart like Yeah. Like I think just enough to win. I mean, 20 is so low. Like I’m not saying they’re going to win 40 games, but like 22, you know, I could see it. He went with 22. And uh you know, I I think they’ll have some fun rookie stuff too with Trey Johnson. Like I I think I think uh 21 22 is in the cards. You know, the the last team in the East is usually always under 20 wins. So, you’re just kind of banking that they’re not that. It’ll be the next. Um yeah, it’ll probably be Brooklyn. But if Brooklyn doesn’t have a full fiveman unit of their first round pick, I’m going to be furious. Uh and then I’m going to Any any of Wizards thoughts, guys? This is This is a good one. This is a sneaky good one. I honestly had an under. I had him as an under. Really? Um I did mainly because 20’s just so low. So low. I like I hate I don’t like the combination they have. They have so many expiring contracts and I think they’re at a spot to where like those vets I think Wizards fans might revolt if they’re playing Marcus Smart over Trey Johnson or Oh yeah. you know, Chris Middleton and the it’s like they have enough young guys that they should just be playing those guys and I think they’re going to be one of the teams that is, hey, we’re gonna be losing games from the start. Well, I think I’m looking at the Nets last year, 26 wins. Can I get a similar like, oh, the Wizards are weirdly like 500 halfway through November? Step and then they trade all those guys or buy them out and then they’re horrendous the rest of the way, but they bought themselves enough wins to get to 20. I’m not going to lie, I kind of like Sar. I thought Sar kind of beefed up a little bit in summer league. I was like, “Whoa, put on some muscle, had some nice defensive plays.” Yeah, their rookie class last year was pretty good. Sar tape. I told you I watched Wade Summer League this year. All right, we each get one more pick left. Let’s go. This one’s really hard. I wanted I’ve had all three East teams. I’m going West. Typically, you get four or five 50 win teams in the West. There’s some weird years here and there. I know I’m gonna get 50 from the Thunder. I feel pretty good about 50 from the Rockets, but I’m not touching 54 and a half. I feel I’m getting 50 from the Nuggets. Can What? What is the other team? Timber Wolves. Look, I could see Timberwolves getting 50, but I’m going to go with the team that won 50 games last year and I think got better. It’s a little scary, but I’m going to go with the Clippers. I know. Yeah, I know. I know. I had them on my short list, too. They lose they lose uh Powell and they lose like Ben Simmons and they’re bringing in John Collins. They bring in Brook Lopez and they bring in Bradley Beal. Like that is an upgrade right there. Yeah, I agree. 37 games of Kawawaii if we can get more of those. And this has been a trend that they’ve been doing, but like going out and getting John Collins. I mean they’re they got their old guys in Harden and and Kawhi of course, but they’re like an athletic team and John Collins next to Harden. I mean that’s that’s going to be really good I think. So, uh, it’s it’s a risky one, but there’s going to be another 50 win team, I think. And I don’t know. I like them team. I like them. Their age stuff scares me. I do like the moves that they made. Um, these are ages of some of people in their rotation. 34, 36, 33, 37, 37, 31. Um, with Collins, Zubots at 28, Derek Jones Jr. to 28. I didn’t like Bogdan’s fit for him last year, I thought he played kind of weird for him. Um, they’re just one of those teams. I think if you like had a small group of teams, if you made a team of like if healthy, um, if you guaranteed me majority of their people were healthy most of the year, I think they’re a lot. If they’re healthy going into the playoffs, I think they’re super scary. I didn’t like put an overunder on them. They’re one of the small groups of teams that I just couldn’t touch. I was like, I don’t I don’t know what to do with them. And but I think on paper going into a playoff series, I’d be scared of him. And Tyler is a really good coach, I think. Yeah, the regular season stuff is a little scary because they might just prioritize health, but James Harden had a like pretty good season last year. Games. Yeah, James Harden all NBA. So I’m like, I wonder if he can duplicate that. Make your last pick. Uh yeah, I’ll just stay in the West. I’ll take Denver. Um. Oo. Yeah. I just I think you know second uh second year with the new head coach Joic. Um their pieces. Yeah. I like Cam John. I actually like Cam Johnson better than Porter Jr. Not defensively probably, but Bruce Brown some of the smaller pieces off the bench. If they keep, you know, keep Jonas there or will Jonas stay? Uh we’ll see. Um yeah, I don’t know. I think uh I think Holmes is actually pretty good going going into that draft and then he gets, you know, hurt last year. So I think it’s a slight over for they won 50 games last year without some of those names. Uh and they basically swapped out Porter Jr. and Russ for some of these for Cam Johnson, uh Bruce Brown, Valenunis. Yeah. So there’s 53 and a half this year. I think it’s slight over like 54 55. It’s a good one. My final pick, I’m going with the Miami Heat. Dude, I almost took them. I really did. 38 and a half. 38 and a half. They won 37 last year. They bring in Norm Powell for like free basically. And so you’ve got Tyler Herro, Norm Pal, Andrew Wiggins, Bamio, Kill Wear takes another step forward. They’ve got they’ve got some guy. They’ve got like some guys and it’s in the East like the East I feel like is just a free a free pass where somebody somebody’s going to take a little step forward. Spolstra heat culture the the court written on it. They got the and the Jimmy Butler stuff is is out from over their heads like that could be a little boost. Terry Roier knows the overunder. True, true. He’ll make sure they hit the over for sure. Maybe like guys, we got to get to 39. Davy Mitchell played well for him. Yeah, you get a little True. He He was good. Yeah, I think betting on the East is is a solid Someone has to win games. How many East teams will you pick? I only took one. I picked almost all East teams. He only picked one. waving west is just scary. You look at it and it’s like I thought about the Grizzlies and I’m like well I mean they’re like I could easily see them winning 36 games. I I almost if I had another pick I would have took I would have taken Detroit um because they only have them at like one and a half game better uh than they were last year. And I don’t know. I just like some of their Duncan Robinson another shooter. They’re getting Ivy back. They’re basically replacing Shruder with uh with Ivy Cade. I’m a big fan of him. You know, another another season for him playing at a high level. So, yeah, I like their team a lot. It’s hard for me to You’re basically saying that like they’re they’re going to be like even or just a tad bit better. I just think they’re one of those young teams, especially in the East that kind of takes that next step a little bit. Interesting. Let us know what you think about our picks YouTube channel on Instagram, Tik Tok, Twitter, wherever you are. Locked on Mavs. Guys, go check out Slightly Bias Great YouTube channel. Good stuff happening there all the time. We’ll do the unders on another episode. Wherever you’re listening, watching this feed, that will be on there. We’ll do the unders in a different episode. Guys, thanks for hanging out with us on Locked on Mabs. Check out the text line link in the description. Thanks for watching to Locked on Mabs. Peace out. Boom. Yo, Bucks.
The Dallas Mavericks’ over/under for the upcoming NBA season is set at 40.5 wins at FanDuel. Will Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic, and the Mavs exceed expectations and surpass this total in their quest for playoff contention?
Nick Angstadt, Isaac Harris, and Slightly Biased @SlightlyBiased analyze the Mavericks’ chances of hitting the over on their win total, discussing the impact of Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, and potential rookie sensation Cooper Flagg. The hosts also break down other NBA teams’ over/under win totals, including the San Antonio Spurs, Orlando Magic, and Atlanta Hawks. They examine the additions of Dereck Lively II, Klay Thompson, and Naji Marshall to the Mavs roster and how these players could contribute to surpassing the 40.5 win mark.
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18 Comments
lets go Mavs! 💙🤍🩶💚
Need the old theme back for this count down
Wow – the trifecta *******
Cooper will average fewer points, reb, and assists than Luka did his rookie season, but will be more of a game changer bc of how good he is on both ends, especially in transition.
Heard it here first, but he will be on the defensive team his rookie year. I personally have watched a ton of his game and the way he plays, i could see around 2 steal and 1+ block average this year. He's special on defense.
Audio jacked up?
Had to close and reopen app and it fixed, guess it was my phone.. lol
It would be fine if we had a bad year, next year is our last first round pick for a while and I would love to get one more future stud since it’s a loaded class.
I think this is an easy 50 win team as long as we don’t get any more major injuries.
PPL ACT LIKE AD DIDNT PLAY 76 GAMES 2023-2024 SEASON YEA HE ONLY PLAYED 43 GAMES 2024-2025 SEASON BUT HIS INJURIES BEEN WEAK SOFT TISSUE INJURIES AD IS BACK WATCH
I think we're built like 2011. AD can perform like 41, the Gafford Lively pairing is better. Washington Flagg is better. I really like our roster, over 50 wins 🏆
Mavs easy over. Celtics under. Don't underestimate the Celtics willingness to tank when given the opportunity (Tatum out) and there's franchise changing prospects in the draft. They could easily sit Jalen for soft injuries. They're very shrewd in doing what they have to do to position themselves to contend for championships. Also for the Hawks I'm surprised you didn't mention KP's been a disaster in terms of staying healthy in his career. There's tiers to injury issues, and AD in comparison is definitely not in the top tier. It just seems like anyone that plays with LeBron and doesn't live up to lofty expectations gets the reward of carrying some sort of bad rep as a side effect.
"I'm taking a hiatus…" – Slightly Biased translation – It's not me it's you lol
A week from today I will get my cast off, too. 🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻
There is a path to winning only 40 games. If DLo does not pan out (chances are high he doesn’t), Ky does not come back soon and AD gets hurt, you might end up below 40 wins
I can’t help but imagine this team with Luka. Flagg would go off as the 4 with off ball screens. AD is a great player but imagine Luka and Flagg. Would be awesome! AND trading for LeBron would be soooo stupid!
"Shut it down"
No. they re not going to be an above .500 team. The malcontent AD is going down with an injury (As usual) before 2026. Get this guy out of town, he is a cancer.
Bru, AD is 32 years old, and he's made of glass!! It's not disrespect, just objectivity.😂😂😂
The fact these guys are arguing if the Mavs can win 40 games with their stacked roster is WILD. If the Mavs don't win 50+ its a failed season.