College Basketball Picks Today (2/1/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

College Basketball Picks Today (2/1/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

What’s up everybody meski here back again with the odd shopper channel today we’re talking some college basketball bets it’s Thursday February the 1st before we get started make sure to hit that Thumbs Up Button subscribe to the channel and hit the notification Bell so know when this and all other content

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Text 1800 Gambler again limited time so take advantage of that before it’s gone all right let’s recap yesterday was a pretty middling day overall just just to go through the games we talked about on the show and the extras that were added first one was Alabama that was

Really greasy for a large portion of that game Alabama ended up cutting a 16-point deficit and it kind of played out how I thought it would Nick Pringle didn’t play in the game which was a surprise but Alabama scored off 19 turnovers they had 42 paint points in the paint without

Pringle so they definitely used their size somewhat they were out rebound rounded 34 to 24 which was a surprise but that’s an offense that’s very hard to keep down so Georgia was able to outlast them for most of the game but It ultimately wasn’t enough Alabama got the

Cover there Penn State Ruckers went way under Kanye Clary did not play as expected that was nice Richmond absolute monster of a team now that they’re at full health that was another cover but wasn’t all sunshine and Roses Radford had a really embarrassing loss I mean

They they just lost to a six- win Charleston Southern team that had three wins against division one competition if you go back and look at the metrics I do think Radford should have won the game we don’t care about wins and losses we care about covers they they weren’t

Going to cover the game either way so yeah it’s tough to get minus six and a half on a team like Radford see that close at 10 and a half but it’s the perfect definition of closing line value does not feed your family other than that Asheville they made a pretty good

Push for themselves that was another one with one point of closing line value they were outscored in the pain and turned it over six more times than their opponent but still a pretty good account of themselves that’s not one that’s too upsetting to me you’re going to take L’s

Rhode Island was a push I had this at minus two if you got the three that’s tough break and I guess we’ll talk about it right now odd Shopper can help you get some of these pushes that might be losses on other books you need to check

This out not only is it a line shopping tool which is free but but we have packages that have Consolidated all our tools we use a market based approach to help you find plus EV spots across boards so not just colge troops which is what I primarily use it for but our

Disc so if you’d like the analysis from our exp five points away from reaching the cover in a lowc scoring game just not no reason they should have won that game Florida didn’t I did not have the courage to take Florida they end up with a win over Kentucky outright when they

Were plus six and a half just didn’t have the courage to go against that Kentucky monster offensively but their defense has been a real problem and then I did add a Boise State under so it ended up being a slightly negative day for me but happy with the process we’ll

Move forward couple other notes Purdue in that overtime game against Northwestern Purdue is crazy man like this is the number one team in the country they shot four 46 free throws it took Northwestern shooting 52% from three for that to get to overtime if you’re going to need a 52% three-point

Performance for an opponent to even get to overtime like Purdue is Unstoppable and the D the difference between them and Yukon right now I think is just experience kingan almost fouled out of their game yesterday against Providence in 15 minutes ed. has a couple years under his belt he never

Fouls and he generates a ton of them himself so I mean if those two ever match up again I mean Ed has an edge for sure West Virginia’s healthier this is a note moving forward Jesse Edwards is back they ended up beating Cincinnati 6965 I would take that into account in

Future West Virginia handicaps we talked about the Kentucky game Memphis is a complete disaster right now they bench Javon quinly they end up taking an L to Rice 7471 talked about Ukon that team is really good they still end up beating Providence 74 65 without out clinging basically and then Boise late

Night they got a nice bounce back over New Mexico 8678 after New Mexico just ravaged the this Nevada team on on Sunday night so let’s bend it forward to today’s games bring you behind the glass got like a little tickle in my throat for some reason first one up is going to be

Wisconsin taken on Nebraska the narrative Bros are immediately going to be upset with me taking Wisconsin as a pick them on the road yes I am aware they play Purdue on Sunday they game is at home unfortunately for Wisconsin this game’s also important Nebraska is a pretty good team if they Overlook

Nebraska I mean you’re not going to beat Purdue for the outright Big 10 title anyway they do have a slight Edge over Purdue right now who has two L Wisconsin has just the one you’re probably going to take an out to Purdue so preserving this record at least gives you

Potentially a share of the title later on they’ll play Purdue twice but anyway as far as this game goes it’s a rematch from earlier this season Wisconsin absolutely annihilated Nebraska on their court now they have to travel so that’s at least worth noting but again that’s

Always going to be in the spread already your homec court stuff Nebraska is still not fully healthy there’s a chance Chuan Gary comes back in this game but the coach has been extremely vocal about bringing Gary along slowly this a guy that was playing mid 25s upper 20s and

Minutes he’s not going to play that we currently have him projected for 12 minutes on the player prop side but he’s important this front court for Nebraska has rink Mast he’s awesome but Josiah Alec is not very good and they’ve struggled to defend opposing front courts including Wisconsin’s the first

Time they met when Steven Crow and Tyler wall combined for nearly 30 points that’s going to be a big issue in this game for Nebraska again Nebraska does have one advantage I want to bring up they’re excellent at shooting to three Wisconsin’s not great at defending that

Area of the Court they’re 313th and three-point defense Nebraska 61st in three-point percentage but this is sort of neutralized to me because Wisconsin does have that massive Advantage inside they’re 13th and effective height Nebraska 139th and Jan Gary again not expected to play full minutes this is evidenced in rebounding where Nebraska

Is outside the top 100 Wisconsin 24th and honestly I think Wisconsin’s shooting has some room for improvement from three you’re getting pretty good minutes out of players like AJ stor now who’s been consistently above 30 41% three-point shooter Max kman at 41% three-point shooter Max kman now consistently above 30 minutes you’re

Seeing this rotation sort of narrow and you’re seeing a horribly inefficient scorer like Chucky he just be a floor General rather than a Creator which I think is positive for Wisconsin so we’ll back the Badgers ahead of this Purdue spot this weekend next up go out west our darling Stanford take takes on

Arizona State in a game that I think is not lying correctly you can find this around a pick them you can find this I got a plus one luckily somehow with Stanford and we talked about their health last time they were on a show they’ve gotten back Spencer Jones now

And this is a fully healthy Stanford they got back Jared bam in their last game just adding some depth to their guard play you’re facing an Arizona State team who’s been up and down I think to put it kindly in Pack 12 Play and the first thing that stands out to

Me in this game is Stanford’s front Court you’re now deep in this area of the Court Maxim raymont rard 71 you have Brandon Angel 68 Spencer Jones 67 and it’s a pretty deep lineup too like Michael Jones and Andre so yakovich are 65 and 67 this is a ton of size for a

Stanford lineup across the board who’s just an absolute wagon offensively and I think they have a little bit of meat left on the bone because of their injuries this team is 20th and effective field goal percentage this team is top 10 in three-point percentage and they’re a team that excels inside they’re 73rd

In interior scoring that’s with a ton of these guys on the Shelf are part of the Year Arizona State for everything they do well they’re pretty solid defensive team 41st in total defensive efficiency they’re horrific inside 215th in interior defense they’re very good with their guard stopping the three but you

Don’t have two paths to success for Stanford I think this team can just run away with it on the road honestly and if you look at all the height stuff Stanford was already 18th in effective height Arizona State 101st rebounding metrics also show this and I think you

Have a chance for this to be even worse with Arizona State they’ve had to bench some guys like Bryant cab bangu has been benched he’s the Tulsa transfer and again we’ve gotten players back for this staner team so we’ll back them plus one it’s going to a pick them in some spots

I’m fine with this through zero honestly I’ll take Stanford moving to some greasy games next up we have Northeastern taken on tosen interesting game here one that I think is somewhat tricky to handicap but one that’s still worthwhile you can find tosen minus 6 and a half this team

Has a lot of issues scoring but they’re Elite defensively as you can see in the screen top 100 in defensive efficiency 190th and offense it’s the exact opposite for nor Eastern but kind of their weaknesses are more announc this team cannot defend whatsoever they’re 296 as far as this game goes just to

Talk to you a little bit about these two teams nor Eastern 234th strength of schedule this team is pretty good scoring they have the 139th ranked effective field goal percentage in comparison tosen has played a tough schedule themselves 165th strength of schedule but they’re 300th in effective field goal percentage there are injuries

Lucas sakota and Joe pigon have been missing from this Northeastern team if you go to Evan mia.com just isol this conference there’s only three players in the top 50 of the conference on this Northeastern team one of them is sakota none of them are in the top 25 their

Best players are Jared Turner at 28 and Chris dhy at 32 meanwhile Toon’s fully healthy nenda T’s back for this roster they have four players in the top 30 two of them are top 10 players that’s Chase par and Charles Thompson there’s a lot of Firepower for this team an excellent

Defense overall as far as some of the niche scoring stuff with tosen versus nor Eastern basically everything nor Eastern does well tosen defends pretty well themselves so for whatever reason this Northeastern team 315th and effective height they do a ton of their scoring at The Rim they’re 41st and twoo percentage

Tosen defense that’s where they Excel on the inside and then this Northeastern team is just horrific shooting threes they’re outside the top 300 in that metric if there’s a place where tosen does succeed on offense I guess it’s the three you know they’re 337th in interior scoring but

191st from the perimeter so maybe that’s a matchup they can exploit against North Eastern’s defense which ranks outside the top 300 in three-point defense but you also have a lot of chances for Second Chance opportunities because tosen matches up fairly well against nor Eastern again nor Eastern 315th and

Effective height tosen 260th so this rebounding Edge which you see it’s slight but the 13th rebounding team in tosen that’s given them a ton of Second Chance opportunities this team is third in offensive rebounding in the country I believe they Trail Houston and Texas ANM so they’re getting a ton of Second

Chance opportunities which sort of mitigates a little bit of that really bad effective field goal percentage expecting this one to move just based on the injuries alone so if you can grab that before people realize sakota and pigon are still injured something that’s worthwhile here next up Drexel taken on Monmouth

Really fun one here Drexel’s kind of been a pain for me this year but we’re not betting a side thankfully we’re going to go to a total under 140 points the Crux of this is pacing more than anything else you have two teams that are extremely slow as you can see on the

Screen Drexel is 349th in adjusted Tempo there’s only about 14 teams slower than them and Monmouth isn’t exactly fast they’re 197th both of these teams are decent on offense but drexell has a solid defense they’re 116th overall and this is a spot where I think the strength of the

Offense kind of works against the opposing team’s strength on defense for reference Monmouth is 38th and three-point percentage but Drexel’s 27th in defending the three and then you know Drexel’s not the best scoring team their effective field goal percentage is 178 they don’t really have a strength they’re kind of just right around

Average to below average and interior and perimeter scoring which is solid because you know M defense 203 they’re not a lead in either metric either so I think this also sets up to be a game where as long as Drexel can neutralize the three-point shooting of Monmouth

They should be able to come away with a win here they’re minus four but also go under and again it’s basically just a pacing thing in this game the pace does not line up with the total so we’ll go under 140 as the play in Drexel Monmouth Delaware taken on William and

Mary we your game here haven’t talked about the tribe much this year but this one you can find the road team Delaware minus 4 and a half there are some injuries to note basically Delaware fully healthy and this team is awesome when you just look at their players they

Have Jer Davis he’s 13th in this conference having me a.com toine this Christian Ray is 18th Neil Lane is 27th William and Mary they only have one player in the top 48 of the CAA that’s the conference this team plays in they’ve been injured they’ve only gotten

Three games out of no Noah CER this year Charlie Williams has been out Sean H has been out Jack Kinski has only played nine games this team is extremely banged up on top of some of the weaknesses they already have they’re 342nd in strength of schedule they only have three wins

Against top 300 teams their best win is against nor Eastern in the same conference nor Eastern ranks 250th on kenpom so on top of being injured you got a really bad resume and a horrible strength of schedule conversely Delaware is 261st in strength of schedule this team beat Xavier earlier this year they

Have a bunch of losses as you can see on the screen they’re 12 and nine but eight of those losses came against teams in the top 80 five of them were by single digits we already mentioned the players this team has an awesome roster whereas William and Mary is dealing with one of

The weaker rosters in this conference effective field goal percentage Delaware has the edge they’re 120th William and Mary is 183rd and what William and Mary tries to do is shoot a ton of Threes I don’t know why they do this well I mean I do know

Why they do this it’s effective if you can shoot threes they’re n9th and three-point rate but they’re 213th and three-point percentage Delaware is 12th and defending the three meanwhile there’s another major mismatch in this game and I’m not exactly sure why William and Mary 185th in effective High Delaware

335th but Delaware is 108 at getting to the rim and scoring inside William and Mary does not use their height effectively they are 296 than interior scoring rebounding also slightly favors Delaware despite being at a size disadvantage so I mean Delaware just being far more talented as a roster

Should be able to run away with this have no problem with the minus four and a half and again William Mar is not fully healthy I’m surprised you’re getting it at this number this is accounting for William and Mary at full strength Morehead State taken on Tennessee State we’re going to deal with

A couple Tennessee teams and continue to stay greasy this is one where I think we can back a road team and Morehead State’s only minus three as far as injury situations in this game you should have a fully healthy Morehead State here unless you have something like an unexpected absence Tennessee

State is missing Marcus Fitzgerald he’s ranked 52nd in this conference just in terms of most efficient players this is a really fun matchup in this conference and both teams have elite players you just look across the board the number one three and five player are on Morehead State meanwhile you have the

Number two and four player on Tennessee state so to dive into those players a little bit Riley Min is number one Jordan lean number three Drew thelwell’s number five this Morehead State team has seven players in the top 22 Tennessee state they’re a little weaker they have

Four in the top 24 and Christian Brown’s number two Jason Jobo is number four the high end of the roster for Tennessee State Compares well to Morehead but just the balance of this roster does not you’re dealing with two studs and everyone else is just an anary player

Whereas Morhead state has multiple ways to beat you and one of the players Marcus Gerald he’s about a top 50 player for this team plays a lot of minutes and that’s going to be an issue missing him lastly I mean Mor Morehead State should have a size advantage on paper which is

Crazy to stay because Tennessee State got a Florida transfer Jason Jobo who’s 611 and again he’s the number four player in this conference but you actually you know dive into the Stylistics here Morehead State 129th in effective height Tennessee State 278th on the inside Morhead State 26th and interior scoring Tennessee State

188th defending the interior both teams defend the perimeter really well so the best mismatch is Morehead State inside rebounding vastly favors Morehead State 27 to 260th some of the turnover stuff I don’t think it’s really going to matter neither team forces a ton of turnovers neither team forces a ton of fouls so

I’m not expecting too much foul trouble from Morhead or Tennessee State and honestly the potential fouling affects a a team like Tennesseee state who’s a little more thin you have a ton of size and players that can actually play with depth on this Morehead State team it’s

Not like it’s just one player whereas Jobo kind of is the only guy for this team that has you know consistent size otherwise I think that’s about it for this game just diving in oh effective field goal percentage Morhead State 83rd Tennessee State 245th so just vastly different styles of offense ability to

Score four with more head State on the road I know we’re back in a couple Road teams but that that’ll change here pretty soon as we go through next couple games mentioned we’ll stick with Tennessee Southern Indiana takes on Tennessee Tech weird one here instead of

The top of the conference we kind of just talked about the game of the night we’re going to the bottom of the conference we’re going to take another road team but Southern Indiana is plus two and a half against Tennessee Tech head really dive deep for these two teams Southern Indiana’s 284th strength

Of schedule they have one top 300 win they are 335th in effective field goal percentage but Tennessee Tech’s not much better they’re to 70th in strength of schedule they also have just one top 300 Win and they’re 263rd in effective field goal percentage the difference in some of these teams Southern Indiana Jordan

Tilman’s only played in seven games but he’s their worst player so I’m not really too worried about that Ryan Hall is also miss some time he’s not very good either Tennessee Tech has missed a bunch of time Jarvis Harvey David early they’ve been missing games Grant Strong’s only played in Eight Games in

This Ohio Valley Conference Tennessee Tech only has three players in the top 50 one of them is Rodney Johnson at 32nd but the other two are Harvey and early who’ve been out if neither of them returned this Tennessee Tech team’s had a severe disadvantage compared to what they’re normally playing with meanwhile

Southern Indiana has four players in the top 50 they should all be active for this game and this is another spot where height should be a big Advantage for Southern Indiana I think that’s just primarily how they try to win they’re 189th and effective height Tennessee Tech 340th interior scoring Tennessee

Tech is 311 so you should be able to just play through the height rebounding suit Southern Indiana you can see that on the screen 192nd to 345th there’s not really anything Tennessee Tech does that well either I mentioned they do have a scoring advantage on paper I suppose 263 to 355

In effective field goal percentage but they score inside with a really small lineup Southern Indiana is actually 99th this is a top 100 team at defending the paint so I’m not really sure you find success with Tennessee Tech here and I think this is honestly just the teams

That have almost identical resumés but you’ve seen this luck coin flip Factor work Tennessee TCH Direction whereas Southern Indiana it hasn’t just yet and you see a slight Gap in their resumes but we’ll back Southern Indiana here last one I believe Sam Houston State Western Kentucky this is one I think is pretty

Nice for the home team and we have Western Kentucky favored by four and a half I do expect this to move largely because the injury news Christian Lander is coming back he had a head injury I thought he was going to be back earlier for this team but missed their last game

Sam Houston talk about their injuries in the second second but just kind of overarching stuff Sam Houston 13 53rd strength of schedule Western Kentucky 243 effective height Sam Houston cannot score they 31th and Western kuy’s 13th as far as Talent goes I don’t even think it’s close Sam Houston has two top 30

Players Western kuy’s hammered the transfer portal it’s not just Christian Lander who’s back but you have four players in the top 20 five in the top 25 you have players like Rodney Howard on this roster he’s a Georgia back transfer Brandon Newman there’s a lot of power five players on this

Roster and they’ve sort of been injured at times and played down to competition but in this contest I don’t see that being a huge issue Sam Houston State they’re behind Western Kentucky in both offensive and defensive efficiency we already mentioned the effective field goal percentage difference Western Kentucky can play inside with their

Height they do have a height Advantage 188 to 296 they’re 128th in interior scoring Sam Houston’s 288 defending that area of the court and both these teams defend pretty well from three you still have a shooting Gap there 147th for Western Kentucky Sam Houston 244th this Sam Houston team is barely inside the

Top 250 in any scoring metric and Western kenty’s about top 100 in both this team is actually 57 defending the three 1110th in the interior and again Sam Houston doesn’t play with size to begin with rebounding again Western kuy’s Direction This Western Kentucky team and Sam Houston both can force

Turnovers but I trust the elite play or not Elite I guess power five play that’s now come down to Western Kentucky far more than I do with what Sam Houston has on the floor and this game’s going to be fast I mean anytime you have Western Kentucky they’re going to Pace you up

And Sam Houston doesn’t exactly play slow that game does not Sam suit Sam Houston the more chances you give Western Kentucky to run away with this the worse it can be for them all right before we get out of here give you a couple throw ways that I didn’t think were completely worth

Breaking down on the stream I did take Western Illinois against lyndenwood minus 4 added Eastern Washington minus three and a half against Montana State Cleveland State against Detroit Mercy seven and a half holy smokes I spend a second on this one Detroit Mercy’s 0 and 22 they played a bunch of conference

Games by now they’ve lost all of them except two by double digits this is a rematch already Cleveland State won by 11 points in their first contest and I mean this just say blowout city written all over it and Jacksonville State I think is interesting in this game against UTEP plus four Jacksonville

State has some pretty good players like Kai Kai tandies on this roster and I mean just overall scoring suits Jacksonville State UTEP has been a terrible offense so that’s one I think you could back as well that’ll do it for us today we’ve got a slow Friday on Deck

Tomorrow followed by a mega Saturday I’ll do what I can to get these videos out as soon as possible thank you for all the support if you’ve given it and the feedback I really appreciate it I’m on Twitter _ gajes if you ever like to reach out to me I’m available DMS are

Open you can leave a comment as well I’ve been checking these pretty routinely otherwise thank you guys for watching and good luck we’ll see you tomorrow

College Basketball Bets Thursday February 1 NCAAB Picks & Predictions Today

Matt Gajewski gives his best CBB NCAA bets, picks and predictions for 2/1/24.

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College Basketball Picks & Predictions Today

00:00 Best NCAAB Picks & CBB Predictions
5:22 Wisconsin vs Nebraska
7:55 Stanford vs Arizona State
10:02 Northeastern vs Towson
12:55 Drexel vs Monmouth
14:28 Delaware vs William & Mary
17:05 Morehead State vs Tennessee State
20:08 Southern Indiana vs Tennessee Tech
22:31 Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky

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