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Mavericks-Thunder Predictions: Will Luka Doncic & Dallas end OKC’s dream season? | Hoops Tonight



Mavericks-Thunder Predictions: Will Luka Doncic & Dallas end OKC’s dream season? | Hoops Tonight

Jason Timpf shares his predictions for Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, and the Dallas Mavericks’ matchup with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and the Oklahoma City Thunder in the second round of the NBA Playoffs. Jason discusses the biggest factors in the series, breaks down film from prior matchups, and shares his pick for who will advance to the Western Conference Finals.

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22 Comments

  4. @Oscar_AH

    Maxi was more important for this series than people realize. He played an amazing 25 mins in the blowout in Feb

  5. @ctoaun23

    OKC in 4, 5 at most. Getting the #1 seed was so clutch, allowing okc to play weaker teams like the Pels and Mavs.

  6. @ThunderPhant

    This is the most I've ever disagreed with one of your series predictions. I hope you realize you keep underestimating OKC, you said R1 was going 6 or 7 and it was a sweep and one of the least competitive series of the first round, even with the Pelicans having a better post-game center than Dallas, and better perimeter defenders than Dallas. Luka is clearly injured and shot 23% on his 3s in the first round, and OKC has a major homecourt advantage. OKC's role players are much bigger offensive weapons than the Mavs role players, and OKC can guard Dallas much better than Dallas can guard them, especially with Maxi out. Dallas just dropped 2 games to the Clippers without their best player, and had absolutely catastrophic stretches in that series, the Thunder are WAY better than a non-Kawhi Clippers, and their "others" are much better on both ends than Terrance Mann, Russ, or Coffey; Chet also allows them to stretch the floor in a way that the Clippers couldn't. The Thunder always play with high effort and have been immune to stretches like Dallas has shown to be capable of, and their stars are 2-way players in a way that Luka and Kyrie just arent; even if Kyrie or Luka is defending well, neither of them have the defensive impact of a JDub or SGA. I find it hilarious that people think Gafford/Lively are going to pose a threat to Chet, Valenchunius has 40+ pounds on both of those guys, a longer wingspan, and a better post-game; Simply put, they are not nearly the threat that JV was. OKC was top 5 offense and defense for a reason, and even in this preview you went over all these different things the Mavs are going to need to try in order to find success which makes it seem pretty clear that OKC has quite the advantage going in. Luka himself said his knee isn't going to get better during this run. I think OKC is clearly the better team and my prediction would be for them to win in 6, but honestly wouldn't be surprised if it's 5.

  7. @jameskfouri1896

    DJJ on SGA, Luka on Giddey,Kyrie on Dort, PJ Washington on J Will and Gafford on Chet. That’s how Mavs should defend OKC.

  11. @bp4107

    Hey Jason,want honest opinion on Austin reaves. He is been very good for the most part as 3rd at best or 4th option in a lebron and AD led team which is already very hard to be consistent given how ball dominant AD and lebron and AD. Do you think he deserves a chance to be solid second option on a team like Atalanta hawks or something like that. Even Brunson wasn't doing this as second or third option in Dallas where luka is so ball dominant. Do you believe he should move elsewhere where he can be ball hogger like Brunson so he can develop and improve himself as a player. If you are Austin reaves,will you be looking to move on to a team like that to get yourself tested if you can be that guy. Cause if lakers go for young,there is a very good chance reaves will be traded to Atlanta

  18. @Dzad00

    If Gafford or Lively is on the court when Chet is out (which 1 of them should be), DAL should have a huge advantage on the boards. It will be important for them to dominate the glass in those mins. If OKC can hold down those mins they will have a fair chance at winning.

  21. @markslon6626

    Two major mavs rotation players came a the deadline. The Mavs were at full strength with PJ and Gafford only one game vs OKC, the Mavs blow out where mavs dominated the glass

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