this is insane

this is insane



this is insane

Utah Jazz fans, get ready—the addition of the No. 2 draft pick brings game-changing potential to an already promising roster. Can AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Cameron Boozer, or Caleb Wilson unlock a new era alongside Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr.? David Locke breaks down how this infusion of talent will impact the Jazz’s lineup, offensive versatility, and future salary cap dynamics.

Key topics include player shot charts, analysis of AJ Dybantsa’s pick-and-roll game, and how positional size plus at every position could give the Jazz an edge. Hear insights on Boozer’s unique handoff shooting combos, what Dybantsa must add to his arsenal to be an NBA star, and why Jazz fans should be optimistic about a fresh, playoff-caliber core. Is Utah on the verge of something special? The possibilities for the upcoming season just got “insane.”

00:00 Utah Jazz Roster Excitement
11:47 AJ DeBonsa Draft Analysis
27:12 Shot Charts & NBA Fit

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View Comments (37)
  1. The best thing about Kalshi is you're not gambling against the book.
    You have a direct financial interest in some other degenerate gambler losing their paycheck for your benefit. Hey, little Timmy's dad gambled away Timmy's lunch money, but that burger you buy with your winnings will taste that much better.

  2. Caleb Wilson is the route to go. I saw him shoot threes in drills and was hitting up to twenty iin a row consistantly. He's crazy athletic, great attitude and more than solid. You heard it here first!

  3. Main Theme: The Jazz’s Future Suddenly Looks Extremely Exciting

    Locke’s overall conclusion:

    The Jazz may be assembling an unusually versatile and talented young core.
    None of the prospects are guaranteed superstars.
    But the combination of current talent + another elite draft pick gives Utah enormous upside over the next several years.

    David Locke’s core message is that the Utah Jazz are in a potentially incredible position because they already have a solid young core and are likely adding another elite prospect from a loaded upcoming draft class.

    He argues fans should stop overanalyzing for a moment and appreciate how unusual the situation is:

    Existing talent:
    Lauri Markkanen
    Jaren Jackson Jr.
    Walker Kessler
    Keyonte George
    Ace Bailey
    Plus a likely top-2 pick in a draft featuring:
    AJ Dybantsa
    Darryn Peterson
    Cameron Boozer

    Locke believes the roster could soon have:

    elite positional size
    multiple shot creators
    lineup flexibility
    modern “5-out” spacing possibilities
    staggered star combinations similar to successful playoff teams
    AJ Dybantsa Analysis

    Locke spent much of the episode reviewing film of AJ Dybantsa.

    What he loves:
    Elite body control
    Excellent balance and pace
    Strong handle for his size
    Explosive athlete
    Great transition scorer
    Strong finisher at the rim
    Advanced ability to “snake” dribble back to his right hand
    NBA-level physical tools

    He repeatedly says Dybantsa’s talent is “incredible.”

    Concerns:

    Locke does not think Dybantsa is a flawless or guaranteed superstar prospect.

    Main concerns:

    Relies heavily on mid-range scoring
    Prefers driving/shooting right
    Three-point shooting consistency is questionable
    Pull-up threes off the dribble are not yet reliable
    Passing/playmaking numbers are mediocre
    Needs the ball in his hands a lot

    Locke argues that to become a true NBA superstar/top-10 player, Dybantsa must improve as an off-the-dribble three-point shooter — similar to stars like:

    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    Jayson Tatum
    Luka Dončić
    Donovan Mitchell

    He compares the risk somewhat to Paolo Banchero — a player who is very talented but whose offensive impact can become limited without elite shooting.

    Defense of College Basketball Prospects

    One of Locke’s strongest arguments:
    College basketball spacing is terrible and makes evaluating prospects difficult.

    He complains that:

    offenses are cramped
    multiple players clog the paint
    spacing limits drives and rim attacks
    prospects are forced into inefficient mid-range shots

    Because of this, he believes some concerns about Dybantsa’s shot selection may be exaggerated.

    Shot Chart Breakdown
    AJ Dybantsa
    Excellent at the rim (~73%)
    Strong from the right side
    Weak shooting percentages from the left side
    Very effective mid-range scorer
    Not yet a great NBA-style three-point shooter
    Darryn Peterson
    Better shooting from the left side
    Good floater/mid-range game
    Above-average rim finishing
    Some concerns about above-the-break three-point shooting
    Cameron Boozer

    Locke becomes especially intrigued by Boozer’s offensive fit.

    Why?

    Boozer’s shot profile already resembles an NBA player
    Shoots ~41% from above-the-break threes
    Efficient at the rim
    Could become a rare:
    handoff big
    spacer
    shooter

    Locke thinks Boozer could unlock a very modern offense because most NBA handoff centers today cannot shoot well.

    He compares the potential stylistically to:

    Nikola Jokić
    Karl-Anthony Towns
    Salary Cap / Team-Building Point

    Locke also discusses how the Jazz’s timelines could actually work well financially.

    His argument:

    You don’t necessarily want every star paid at the same time.
    Veteran contracts (Markkanen/Jaren Jackson Jr.) may expire or shrink right as younger players need max extensions.
    “Dueling timelines” can actually help manage the modern NBA salary cap.
    Overall Tone

    The episode is highly enthusiastic and optimistic.

  4. It’s great to have a pick and now we get second dibs wow 🤩
    It doesn’t really matter what the wizards 🧙 do as jazz control their spot and have so many nice 😊 choices.
    The argument will always be should they trade down and accumulate more assets. Still get the guy and more for later 😅

  5. So, I think we can say the same thing with the Washington Wizards and I am concerned that we over evaluate young talent. Wenbenyana is almost the exception to the rule. Do we think AJ is LeBron? No, maybe Tracy Mac, but only if everything hits. I keep hearing DP is SGA or Kobe? He isn’t as tall, doesn’t have the 7 foot wingspan of SGA and he has question marks.

  6. I feel like Dybansta is the best prospect. His combination of size for a wing, high level athleticism and on ball scoring ability is rare. With his athletic and physical tools I'm not much worried about him defensively. Even if he's league average it's kind of whatever with all of the other abilities he brings. I don't think he'll be terrible on that end. Biggest concern with him imo is the three point shot. But I don't see a reason why he can't be at least average there too.

    Peterson and Boozer are both fantastic prospects as well. The Jazz can't go wrong taking any of the three at #2. The possibility always exists that maybe you take someone and it doesn't pan out. That's the nature of the draft. But the PROCESS behind the selection is what matters. Taking any of these guys is good process.

    My Jazz specific big board is…

    1) Dybansta
    2) Peterson
    3) Boozer

    I wouldn't trade up. Or down. Or out. I'd just take the best player available at 2. If Dybansta is there I'd take him. If not, I'd take Darryn Peterson and we move forward happily.

    I actually have Cam Boozer at 2 on my overall big board ahead of Peterson (it's very close). But I'd take Peterson if I was the Jazz because they've already invested so much money and so many assets into Lauri/JJJ/Kessler/Ace

  7. I’m a long time Bullets/Wizards fan who has been listening to the Utah media for the past few days and I’m blown away how deep the basketball knowledge is in Utah. Everyone knows balls very very well.

  8. DP is already better than Keyonte. We need a guard and unless the Wizards take DP we’re set with the best player in the draft plus we didn’t give up anything. Do not trade the 2nd pick plus Ace Bailey and a pick or two. We don’t need AJ nearly as bad as DP.

  9. Welcome aboard the "just how good this team might be next year" train! It feels like you finally had the epiphany that most of us have already had regarding this team as currently constructed, and what that means for next year (barring any serious injuries).

    On a separate note, it's not that I don't appreciate that your personality craves and leads you to "analysis", but generally analysis is used to come to conclusions. With you, it's the feeling that the analysis frequently leads to talking in circles with no meaningful determination of what that should ultimately lead the team to do.

  10. I agree AJ is iso heavy bc he can't hit the three. We will ball hog and be unplayable in a team setting. Byu basketball was misery watching his teammates stand around doing nothing while he played in iso.

  11. I've never been on the whole "Ace doesn't want to be in Utah" train, but I am a little concerned he's not going to be wanting to come off the bench, especially for the whole duration of Lauri's contract. I think he would be fine coming off the bench and getting 30+ minutes this year, but I don't think that's going to work for three more years. I'm curious to see how that all works out

  12. AJ seems like the best combo of ceiling and safe. High end is Jaylen Brown or Tatum. But his “bust” scenario seems to be current Andrew Wiggins. It would be super disappointing but still a starter.

    DP seems like the highest ceiling (SGA/Ant), but his bust scenario is Markelle Fultz or Ben Simmons in his final years. Unplayable due to a combination of injuries and/or attitude.

    Cam Boozer seems to be almost bust-proof. He has the highest floor, (Kevin Love), but he doesn’t have the razzle-dazzle like the others, but I don’t know how much that matters. Figuring out how to fit him would just take a while to finesse out since he would push one of Lauri, JJJ, or Kessler to the bench.

  13. You intro into what this REALLY means for our Utah Jazz and what it means to us Jazz lifers can't be undersold. I still don't think my brain has had the necessary time to properly process what getting the #2 NBA draft pick means to me and this franchise not to mention it is in this great of a draft.

  14. While attending a UofA/BYU in Tucson I was sitting in the middle of WildCat fans who were just astonished by AJ. The word “ridiculous’ was used frequently.
    Yet, I could see holes in his game. AJ has the attitude, the want too, and the athletic profile to be great. He deserves to be a top 2 pick in THIS deep draft. He is special. But he is not a top 10 player yet. We will see.

  15. Hey Jazz fans, here’s a question from a guy in DC: Would you trade Ace and #2 pick for first pick (AJ)? Or are you okay with Peterson or Boozer? I ask because it seems like such a unique opportunity for the Jazz.

  16. So if we are going to treat DP at shoe height rather than barefoot… essentially adding 1.5ish inches.

    AJ is 6’10
    Boozer is 6’10
    Wilson is 6’11

    No reason to comp a 6’6 Peterson to 6’8 Dybantsa.

    Some of these athletic wings have never needed the three before. Both Wilson and Dybantsa have smooth mechanics and I expect both to be average to above average three point shooters.

    AJs playmaking is way ahead of Petersons, he played point guard for BYU, brought the ball up the court, broke down presses, initiated the offense against big 13 defenses. Leif did a nice piece on it.

  17. Wow AJ much better than DP from center 3 on those charts. Don’t be so dismissive of the center mid, oh yeah it’s a late game shot… ah that is when it matters most. High stress playoff games, for most players, their 3s don’t fall anything like regular season. That is why having that shot is key. Go check Jokic from those same center mid shots.

  18. I think the pairing has to be Key, JJJ, and Kessler because key isn't a great defender. Lauri, Ace, and DP/AJ.

    And i love the idea of a 5 out lineup. Key, Peterson, Ace, Lauri, JJJ with 5 shooter where a center has to guard J3. Talk about cool lineup options.

  19. AJ doesn't do pick rolls either side of the court. He defends them worse than he plays then on offense. He can't navigate a screen. And when he gets behind, he kind of gives up on defense.

  20. Wizards do have a problem. Tre Johnson, Trae Young, and AD all need the ball in hand to do something on offense. Add in AJ as a fourth. And that roster will be broken. Completely. It's going to take them 2-3 years to fix that and that happens when Trae Young's and AD are gone.

  21. I don't think Justin Zanik gets enough credit for his role in the process… He is great with the players and I think he does get them to fall in love with Utah and the vision here, too. He also probably does a lot of the analysis of player projections

  22. Wizard fan here and I’ve never seen a team like Utah/ a team with 2nd pick one the draft have such a hard on for Washington who has the 1st overall pick. Yaw would be complete morons to trade for aj just sit back and dp

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